05-02-2024, 04:13 PM
https://www.espn.co.uk/nfl/story/_/id/40052203/should-teams-trade-nfl-draft-lessons-deals-2024-class-winners-losers
This is an excellent article of the results of moving up and down in the draft. You need to read the whole thing to really get a feel for how he judges trades and the results.
I'd add a quick summary but there is too much to do so. But I will say that he makes a strong case for NOT trading up, but for trading down. Basically because of the imprecision of judging draft picks, and the fact that when trading up a team is targeting a specific player at a specific position, whereas the team trading down is more likely to pick up value and has more shots (picks) to get a productive player. Quantity of picks > Quality more or less due to the imprecise nature of the draft.
This is an excellent article of the results of moving up and down in the draft. You need to read the whole thing to really get a feel for how he judges trades and the results.
I'd add a quick summary but there is too much to do so. But I will say that he makes a strong case for NOT trading up, but for trading down. Basically because of the imprecision of judging draft picks, and the fact that when trading up a team is targeting a specific player at a specific position, whereas the team trading down is more likely to pick up value and has more shots (picks) to get a productive player. Quantity of picks > Quality more or less due to the imprecise nature of the draft.