Updated after Monday Night:
- If Denver beats SD then we are the #3 seed regardless of the result against the Ravens (Head to Head tiebreaker favours Denver)
- If Denver loses to SD and we beat the Ravens then we are the #2 seed (We would have the better record: 12-4 vs 11-5)
- If Denver loses to SD and we lose to the Ravens but the Chiefs beat Oakland then we are the #2 seed
- If Denver loses to SD and we lose to the Ravens and the Chiefs lose to Oakland then we are the #3 seed
The #1 and #4 seeds are impossible for us to get.
(12-27-2015, 07:00 PM)bengal kitten uk Wrote: [ -> ]There seems to be a lot of confusion going around about what it will take to secure which seed, so here goes:
1) If we lose to the Broncos then we cannot be #1
1a) If Denver then beat SD then we are the #3 seed regardless of the result against the Ravens (Head to Head tiebreaker favours Denver)
1b) If Denver loses to SD and we beat the Ravens then we are the #2 seed (We would have the better record: 12-4 vs 11-5)
2) If we beat the Broncos then we get a bye
2a) If NE beats Miami then we are the #2 seed regardless of the result against the Ravens (See tiebreakers below)
2b) If NE loses to Miami and we beat the Ravens then we are the #1 seed (We would have the better record: 13-3 vs 12-4)
Tie-breakers against NE:
1. Head to Head: No Result
2. Conference Record: Tied at 10-2
3. Common Opponents:
Pittsburgh: NE Win, Cin Win & Cin Loss
Denver: NE Loss, Cin Win
Houston: NE Win, Cin Loss
Buffalo: NE Win & NE Win, Cin Win
Means NE are 4-1 and we are 3-2 against common opponents. Therefore NE wins the tiebreaker.
Note that there is no scenario where we can be tied with the Patriots on record and end up the #1 seed.
Well looks like once we take care of business tomorrow night... I will need to get my fins up.
(12-27-2015, 07:00 PM)bengal kitten uk Wrote: [ -> ]There seems to be a lot of confusion going around about what it will take to secure which seed, so here goes:
1) If we lose to the Broncos then we cannot be #1
1a) If Denver then beat SD then we are the #3 seed regardless of the result against the Ravens (Head to Head tiebreaker favours Denver)
1b) If Denver loses to SD and we beat the Ravens then we are the #2 seed (We would have the better record: 12-4 vs 11-5)
2) If we beat the Broncos then we get a bye
2a) If NE beats Miami then we are the #2 seed regardless of the result against the Ravens (See tiebreakers below)
2b) If NE loses to Miami and we beat the Ravens then we are the #1 seed (We would have the better record: 13-3 vs 12-4)
Tie-breakers against NE:
1. Head to Head: No Result
2. Conference Record: Tied at 10-2
3. Common Opponents:
Pittsburgh: NE Win, Cin Win & Cin Loss
Denver: NE Loss, Cin Win
Houston: NE Win, Cin Loss
Buffalo: NE Win & NE Win, Cin Win
Means NE are 4-1 and we are 3-2 against common opponents. Therefore NE wins the tiebreaker.
Note that there is no scenario where we can be tied with the Patriots on record and end up the #1 seed.
PLEASE sticky this. It's really not all that confusing.
1. Beat Den to clinch #2.
2. Beat Balt and NE lose to MIA to clinch #1.
(12-27-2015, 07:00 PM)bengal kitten uk Wrote: [ -> ]There seems to be a lot of confusion going around about what it will take to secure which seed, so here goes:
1) If we lose to the Broncos then we cannot be #1
1a) If Denver then beat SD then we are the #3 seed regardless of the result against the Ravens (Head to Head tiebreaker favours Denver)
1b) If Denver loses to SD and we beat the Ravens then we are the #2 seed (We would have the better record: 12-4 vs 11-5)
2) If we beat the Broncos then we get a bye
2a) If NE beats Miami then we are the #2 seed regardless of the result against the Ravens (See tiebreakers below)
2b) If NE loses to Miami and we beat the Ravens then we are the #1 seed (We would have the better record: 13-3 vs 12-4)
Tie-breakers against NE:
1. Head to Head: No Result
2. Conference Record: Tied at 10-2
3. Common Opponents:
Pittsburgh: NE Win, Cin Win & Cin Loss
Denver: NE Loss, Cin Win
Houston: NE Win, Cin Loss
Buffalo: NE Win & NE Win, Cin Win
Means NE are 4-1 and we are 3-2 against common opponents. Therefore NE wins the tiebreaker.
Note that there is no scenario where we can be tied with the Patriots on record and end up the #1 seed.
Thanks for breaking it down UK.
Lot of confusion currently going around the boards.
Eh, I think once you start thinking of resting players/etc. you're in trouble. Win the game. This is one of the few points I agree with Marvin on.
Fun fact I hadn't noticed before: if Denver win out and NE lose to the Dolphins then it would be DEN #1, NE #2, CIN #3 and HOU (if they beat the Jags or we beat the Ravens) or IND (they beat the Titans and we lose out and Houston lose to the Jags) would be #4
(12-27-2015, 07:00 PM)bengal kitten uk Wrote: [ -> ]There seems to be a lot of confusion going around about what it will take to secure which seed, so here goes:
1) If we lose to the Broncos then we cannot be #1
1a) If Denver then beat SD then we are the #3 seed regardless of the result against the Ravens (Head to Head tiebreaker favours Denver)
1b) If Denver loses to SD and we beat the Ravens then we are the #2 seed (We would have the better record: 12-4 vs 11-5)
2) If we beat the Broncos then we get a bye
2a) If NE beats Miami then we are the #2 seed regardless of the result against the Ravens (See tiebreakers below)
2b) If NE loses to Miami and we beat the Ravens then we are the #1 seed (We would have the better record: 13-3 vs 12-4)
Tie-breakers against NE:
1. Head to Head: No Result
2. Conference Record: Tied at 10-2
3. Common Opponents:
Pittsburgh: NE Win, Cin Win & Cin Loss
Denver: NE Loss, Cin Win
Houston: NE Win, Cin Loss
Buffalo: NE Win & NE Win, Cin Win
Means NE are 4-1 and we are 3-2 against common opponents. Therefore NE wins the tiebreaker.
Note that there is no scenario where we can be tied with the Patriots on record and end up the #1 seed.
Thank you.
Updated after Monday Night:
- If Denver beats SD then we are the #3 seed regardless of the result against the Ravens (Head to Head tiebreaker favours Denver)
- If Denver loses to SD and we beat the Ravens then we are the #2 seed (We would have the better record: 12-4 vs 11-5)
- If Denver loses to SD and we lose to the Ravens but the Chiefs beat Oakland then we are the #2 seed
- If Denver loses to SD and we lose to the Ravens and the Chiefs lose to Oakland then we are the #3 seed
The #1 and #4 seeds are impossible for us to get.
I was just coming to ask about DEN and CIN losing, but KC winning... Depending on who we have to start against BAL, this might be our best hope.
So do you sit some of your players next week and rest them? No worse than fourth, but can get two with Den loss AND win.
I think we need that bye, we need #2. Baltimore is going to play to hurt, I believe, though.
Unfortunately we are hoping Rivers goes off.
So many scenarios can still be played out.