Salary Cap Discussion - Printable Version +- Cincinnati Bengals Message Board / Forums - Home of Jungle Noise (https://thebengalsboard.com) +-- Forum: Cincinnati Bengals / NFL (https://thebengalsboard.com/forum-3.html) +--- Forum: JUNGLE NOISE (https://thebengalsboard.com/forum-2.html) +--- Thread: Salary Cap Discussion (/thread-37529.html) |
RE: Salary Cap Discussion - casear2727 - 01-18-2024 (01-18-2024, 01:14 PM)ochocincos Wrote: Reader turns 30 years old this Summer. Bengals should do a club option 2nd year in case he heals up and plays well. Doesn't cost us anything and could help us get him signed. RE: Salary Cap Discussion - psychdoctor - 01-18-2024 (01-14-2024, 05:14 PM)Whatever Wrote: Between the weak TE market and draft class, I wouldn't mind seeing Sample retained as a blocking TE. Irwin is an RFA, so he makes sense to tender for cheap depth. What is the recovery timeline for Reader? RE: Salary Cap Discussion - casear2727 - 01-18-2024 (01-18-2024, 08:07 PM)psychdoctor Wrote: What is the recovery timeline for Reader? I have read everything from 9 months to a year, and each time with the disclaimer that it could be career ending. Jamal Adams took a took 13 months. "Quadriceps tendon tears are usually season-ending injuries and may be career ending. Even with acute, primary surgical repair, only about half will return to competitive play." American Journal of Sports Medicine Anecdotal evidence certainly supports careers ended:
There are some positives, however:
RE: Salary Cap Discussion - Hammerstripes - 01-19-2024 (01-18-2024, 01:09 PM)Isaac Curtis: The Real #85 Wrote: Backtracking already? No, not back tracking at all. I will still bet that he won't be signed at the start of the season - if he is, someone is giving a huge discount. He injured it in mid December and it's widely considered a 9-12 month recovery. I love DJ, but to sign him to big money at the start of the season is pretty foolish. There's no way he signs in March, so when the season rolls around, most teams don't have the "big money" to offer a free agent. RE: Salary Cap Discussion - Isaac Curtis: The Real #85 - 01-19-2024 (01-18-2024, 08:50 PM)casear2727 Wrote: In 2021, despite tearing the quad in week 5 the previous year, he started week 1 and played in 15 of 17 games. We rested the starters the last week. https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/R/ReadD.00/gamelog/2021/ Reader has already had the surgery and started rehab. Absolutely no hint of the injury being career ending. He said rehab is going better this time (though as a FA, what would he say, so, grain of salt there). Still, he did not look worried, in the slightest. PFF isn't worried. Spotrac isn't worried. They all think he is gonna get paid. He'll be ready by October, if not sooner. 9 months is 9/16. This career ending talk is, in my opinion, much exaggerated. Still a long way to go. In two months we will have a better idea. RE: Salary Cap Discussion - Isaac Curtis: The Real #85 - 01-19-2024 (01-19-2024, 11:25 AM)Hammerstripes Wrote: No, not back tracking at all. So what is the bet? RE: Salary Cap Discussion - Isaac Curtis: The Real #85 - 01-19-2024 Now for something more concrete, and those who do not believe the $55 mil number is real. A. Cap 1. Projected cap = $242,500,000 2. 2023 Rollover = $10,766,741 -------------------- 3. Total Cap 2023 = $253,266,741 4. Dead Money = ($1,775,689) ------------ 5. 2024 Working Cap = 251,491,052. Will will likely incur more dead money before all is said & done? Sure, but it will be minimal unless we are cutting someone who saves us more on the cap by doing so. B. Contracts 1. 19 signed starters = $154,255,691 -----Burrow, Mixon, Chase, OBJ, Volson, Karras, Cappa; Hendrickson, BJ Hill, Hubbard,,Wilson, Pratt, CTB, Turner, Hilton, Battle, D. Hill; McPherson, Robbins (Robbins replacement is negligible cap impact). 2. 10 Reserves (29) = $13,398,174 -----C. Brown, Iosivas, C. Jones; C. Sample, Murphy, Ossai, Carter, Ivey, J. Davis, Anderson. 3. 8 iffy Reserves (37) = $13,005,884 -----Evans, Carman, D. Smith, T. Hill; Tufele, Bell, Harper, Scott. ------------------------------- 4. Total Contracts (37) = $180,659,749 5. First look cap space = $70,831,303 Now, will all of those players make it to the final 53? No. But all 37 were all on the 53 at the end of this year or were before they got hurt. C. Getting to Functional Cap Space 1. Practice Squad cost (in season) = $4,400,000 2. 1st round pick cap hit (+1, 38) = $2,695,995 3. ERFA's signings (+2, 40) = $1,830,000 ------Browning, Adomitis 4. Min FA re-signings (+8, 48) = $8,930,000 ------T. Williams, Irwin, D. Sample, Ford, Scharping; Tupou, Bailey, Bachie ---------------------- 5. Total Estimated Obligations =$17,855,995 ----------- 6. Functional Cap Space = $52,975,308 That functional cap space is with 48 guys signed and 5 major holes to fill. I think we have 6 spots where we could spend at significantly above the vet min/draft pick level: WR2, NT, RT, WR3, and TE all need starters, and I think some inside pass rush. The Rd 1 pick will take care of one (I guess we could spend big on CB/S/RB upgrades, but that likely means cheaper elsewhere). Anywho, with 5 holes, I spent to 48 guys to get functional space. But what about the other 8 draft picks? True, I elected to fill open roster spots with min FA guys instead of picks. But the average salaries of the min guys and the picks (outside the first rounder) is roughly a wash. The picks will be displacing guys already under contract or placeholder vet min FA's I put in those spots. Reader & Ivey will likely be IR, so going to 55 is acceptable. Throw in ADG/Hudson or more picks, but that likely costs us $1.5-$2.0 mil more. My PS estimate is likely high, though. Anyway, somewhere between $51-$53 mil to play with and 5 major + 2 minor issues to solve, assuming RD1 takes care of one, so 6. Hoping Day 2 draft takes two, that means FA needs to take 3-4. RE: Salary Cap Discussion - casear2727 - 01-19-2024 (01-19-2024, 12:46 PM)Isaac Curtis: The Real #85 Wrote: In 2021, despite tearing the quad in week 5 the previous year, he started week 1 and played in 15 of 17 games. We rested the starters the last week. Im not saying DJs career is over whatsoever but I just listed 6 players whose careers were ended by this injury. Im not sure if they had complications or if some are worse than others, would have to ask fellow poster burreauxs, I have zero medical knowledge. Im DJs biggest fan on this message board. Hopefully I can get some updates in a few months. RE: Salary Cap Discussion - Ell Prez - 01-19-2024 (01-14-2024, 07:04 PM)Soonerpeace Wrote: 2 years @ 7.5 million is better than 1 year 10 million. If he can get a long term contract for much better let him go. He can’t be what he was do you think? Big gamble for Cincy not knowing his health so I don’t think it’s disrespectful I’d take the 1 year at 10M and bet on myself the next year to get more than a $5M contract. He’s never sign a 2 year 15M deal. And no one is going to sign him if he can’t clear a physical. He’s going to be like Larry Ogenjobi. Someone, probably the Ravens after they lose their DT, will sign him super late in free agency or after training camp. RE: Salary Cap Discussion - Isaac Curtis: The Real #85 - 01-19-2024 And, just to put a pin on why I think improving the run defense is more important than pass rush, here are the rushing stats in our division losses: Week 1: 3-24 at Cle. Browns: 40 rushes for 206 yards. Over 5 per. Week 2: 24-27 L to Baltimore at home. Ravens: 37 for 178. Almost 5 per. Week 11: 20-34 L at Balt. Ravens: 31 for 157. Over 5 per. Week 12: 10-16 loss vs Pitt. Steelers: 33 for 153. Just short of 5 per. Week 16: 11-34 L at Pitt. Steelers: 30 for 113. Finally a decent run game. But it was over so quick. 807 yards in 5 games is brutal, though. (if my math is correct). If we cannot stop the run, we cannot win division games. If we cannot win division games, we cannot make the POs. We were 8-3 outside the division this year. Even if we bring Reader back, we need another quality DT (Wilkins is one) and another quality NT/run stopper (I'd take Sweat in Rd2 even with Wilkins & Reader in the bag, or Jackson Rd 3). If no Wilkins in FA, then Jenkins or Murphy Rd 2 looks real good. I'd move WR3, TE, and CB depth back a round. RE: Salary Cap Discussion - casear2727 - 01-20-2024 (01-19-2024, 11:41 PM)Isaac Curtis: The Real #85 Wrote: And, just to put a pin on why I think improving the run defense is more important than pass rush, here are the rushing stats in our division losses: Im guessing that Seattle almost HAS to re-sign Leonard Williams due to what they gave up to get him, but he is an excellent interior rusher that is a free agent. RE: Salary Cap Discussion - Essex Johnson - 01-22-2024 (01-19-2024, 11:25 AM)Hammerstripes Wrote: No, not back tracking at all. I totally agree with you that he will not be signing a contract in March and it is very likely he probably won;t be able to pass a physical in any type of signing in most of offseason, the word ive heard more liking a 4 game pup at start of season, that is going to depress his value and will be tough to get his market value in any deal RE: Salary Cap Discussion - J24 - 01-22-2024 (01-18-2024, 02:38 PM)casear2727 Wrote: Bengals should do a club option 2nd year in case he heals up and plays well. Doesn't cost us anything and could help us get him signed. Wouldn't hurt! RE: Salary Cap Discussion - J24 - 01-22-2024 We can save about 10 million in cap space by cutting Mixon, Scott, and Carmen! Additionally we can save another 14 M if we cut both Hilton & Hll.(of course you only do that if you're comfortable with thier replacements). RE: Salary Cap Discussion - casear2727 - 01-23-2024 (01-22-2024, 09:54 PM)J24 Wrote: We can save about 10 million in cap space by cutting Mixon, Scott, and Carmen! Additionally we can save another 14 M if we cut both Hilton & Hll.(of course you only do that if you're comfortable with thier replacements). We lose money if we cut Dax Hill. You talking about Trey? RE: Salary Cap Discussion - Nicomo Cosca - 01-23-2024 (01-23-2024, 02:28 AM)casear2727 Wrote: We lose money if we cut Dax Hill. You talking about Trey? I assume he’s taking about BJ. So many Hill’s. RE: Salary Cap Discussion - casear2727 - 01-23-2024 (01-23-2024, 03:50 AM)Nicomo Cosca Wrote: I assume he’s taking about BJ. Lol, of course he is. Im an idiot. He mentioned Hilton and I was thinking of DBs. I see no way we could even consider cutting BJ, we need more DTs..... RE: Salary Cap Discussion - J24 - 01-23-2024 (01-23-2024, 02:28 AM)casear2727 Wrote: We lose money if we cut Dax Hill. You talking about Trey? BJ RE: Salary Cap Discussion - J24 - 01-23-2024 (01-23-2024, 10:34 AM)casear2727 Wrote: Lol, of course he is. Im an idiot. He mentioned Hilton and I was thinking of DBs. I see no way we could even consider cutting BJ, we need more DTs..... Like I said in the post if you feel comfortable with his replacement. Example- Bengals sign Justin Madubuike to a 4 year 100 Million deal(40 Million Guaranteed)! Not saying you straight up cut BJ without reason. RE: Salary Cap Discussion - casear2727 - 01-23-2024 (01-23-2024, 10:39 AM)J24 Wrote: Like I said in the post if you feel comfortable in his replacement. Example- Bengals sign Justin Madubuike to a 4 year 100 Million deal(40 Million Guaranteed)! Not saying you straight up cut BJ without reason. Then we would have a better BJ but still with a disappointing Carter. I'd rather cut Carter and save that 1.5M, that would reduce BJ's hit from 7 to 5.5 theoretically. |