Why am I so damn optimistic? - Printable Version +- Cincinnati Bengals Message Board / Forums - Home of Jungle Noise (https://thebengalsboard.com) +-- Forum: Cincinnati Bengals / NFL (https://thebengalsboard.com/forum-3.html) +--- Forum: JUNGLE NOISE (https://thebengalsboard.com/forum-2.html) +--- Thread: Why am I so damn optimistic? (/thread-28299.html) |
RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - SHRacerX - 09-16-2021 (09-15-2021, 08:51 PM)KingOfQueens Wrote: Lol, this is the dumbest troll counter argument of all time. They have played in one game This should be interesting. Please list the TEs that are better pass catcher options that Chase, Higgins, and Boyd. Oh, and since they will be taking the place of one of those downfield threats and safeties will be closer to the LOS, please make sure they can block as well. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - SHRacerX - 09-16-2021 (09-16-2021, 08:59 AM)fredtoast Wrote: You are correct. Gronk is the greatest receiving TE in the history of the NFL. His presence creates an outlier in the stats. Gronk of 2020 wasn't the same HOF Gronk they had in New England, but all those WRs in Tampa helped clear for him and he had a huge Super Bowl, which he continued on in week 1 of this year. In 2020's regular season, he had 45 receptions on 77 targets for 623 yards. Heck, Drew Sample had 40 receptions on 53 targets (highest completion % on the team) for 349 yards in what was essentially his rookies season (I only added that last point because it makes some people crazy). He is a true outlier, but let's not pretend that him taking a one-year, $8 million deal to play for Tampa in 2020 (he is getting $10 million this year) is anything like the Gronk in his prime....or a Travis Kelce. Uzomah will get his targets and will show that he is a solid value at TE for the Bengals. I, for one, am also AMAZED that coming off an achilles injury that he was ready for camp and played in week 1. Amazing for a guy his size. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - Nate (formerly eliminate08) - 09-16-2021 (09-16-2021, 09:20 AM)SHRacerX Wrote: Kendricks is one of, if not the best, coverage LBs in the NFL. Burrow will go where the matchup dictates. Yeah, I liked OJ Howard in college and wanted us to draft him but he has been disappointing in the NFL in my eyes. At this point would I take a flyer on Howard? Of course, but he would have to earn his way and be a decent blocker. I think we will see more targets to the TE as you say when the weather changes, windy, rainy, snowy days. When the weather is good the WR's will get the targets and that is what you want as we saw last Sunday. That trio is no joke. Speaking of being optimistic, I watched the game again and damn is our DT room deep. BJ Hill, Ogunjobi, Reader and Tupou all had a great game and were just constantly eating up the middle of that Viking OL. Remember Synric predicting this before the game along with my prediction of Hendrickson having a great game as he did. If Rashod Hill didn't hold or false start so much Trey could of had 4 or 5 sacks lol RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - SHRacerX - 09-16-2021 (09-16-2021, 01:40 PM)Nate (formerly eliminate08) Wrote: Yeah, I liked OJ Howard in college and wanted us to draft him but he has been disappointing in the NFL in my eyes. At this point The "Hear that Podcast Growling" podcast with Paul Dehner, Jr. and Jay Morrison was rolling off some AMAZING stats. I couldn't jot them down as I was mowing on a tractor at the swim club, but there were a few that I remembered: In 2020, the Bengals DTs had a TOTAL of 3 sacks and something like 36 pressures. In week 1 of 2021, they had 3 sacks (and a 4th negated by penalty) and 15 pressures. They also forced 6 holding penalties (one was declined). That is absolutely insane. It is both a reflection of how piss poor we were in the middle (which screws the LBs) and how much improved they are in 2021 (and we saw how the LBs similarly improved). RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - Nate (formerly eliminate08) - 09-16-2021 (09-16-2021, 05:50 PM)SHRacerX Wrote: The "Hear that Podcast Growling" podcast with Paul Dehner, Jr. and Jay Morrison was rolling off some AMAZING stats. I couldn't jot them down as I was mowing on a tractor at the swim club, but there were a few that I remembered: That is insane. One game. BOOM! BTW, I saw some of ADG in this game of what I was hoping to see, the game has slowed down for him and he has the raw talent to be one of the most explosive OLB's in the NFL. This guy looked way improved. Wilson had the one bad play on the Dalvin Cook TD where our DL and Pratt were shutting off the edge and Wilson should of realigned his gap and went inside and cleaned Cook up but he didn't and Cook made a great cut and got the TD on us. I bet Logan is really kicking himself watching that play. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - ochocincos - 09-16-2021 (09-16-2021, 12:36 AM)Truck_1_0_1_ Wrote: Snark really necessary? Depends on your definition of "very good," I guess. Uzomah's best season (16 games) - 43 rec, 439 yards, 3 TDs That's not "very good" in my book. That's just decent. He was just the 17th TE in the league in yardage that year, behind Chris Herndon (WHO?!) To me, "very good" for a TE is 600+ yards. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - rfaulk34 - 09-16-2021 (09-16-2021, 07:13 PM)ochocincos Wrote: To me, "very good" for a TE is 600+ yards. Well, he's on pace for 595 right now... RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - fredtoast - 09-16-2021 (09-16-2021, 07:13 PM)ochocincos Wrote: Depends on your definition of "very good," I guess. I am not going to try and argue that CJ is a top TE. But he is far from the bottom. It is hard to judge based on just raw numbers because some teams target their TEs more than others. And his best season that you mention was 2018 when Driskel started several games and we had less than 3300 passing yards. If you look at the efficiency numbers Uzo has an above average catch percentage and a below average yds/target. Again this has a lot to do with the way the Bengals use TEs mainly as checkdown receivers. Eifert was an elite talent at TE. He could get in and out of his cuts and run routes like a WR. But even he only had one season with an average of over 12 yards per catch. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - Truck_1_0_1_ - 09-16-2021 (09-16-2021, 07:13 PM)ochocincos Wrote: Depends on your definition of "very good," I guess. I know many aren't high on him, but I've always had a great feeling about him, ever since he was drafted. Last year was his first as a #1, he has a great start and then gets hurt. If he stays healthy, I definitely think he'll be at 600 yards, give or take 30. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - KingOfQueens - 09-16-2021 (09-16-2021, 09:29 PM)Truck_1_0_1_ Wrote: give or take 30. LOL. Are you being this hilarious unintentionally? Congrats on the 4 Paychecks through 10/31 too! What a feather in your cap! RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - fredtoast - 09-17-2021 (09-16-2021, 09:29 PM)Truck_1_0_1_ Wrote: If he stays healthy, I definitely think he'll be at 600 yards, give or take 30. Depends on how many passing yards we have a a team. I was predicting around 4500 in a 17 game season. If we hit that then Uzo has 600. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - ochocincos - 09-17-2021 (09-16-2021, 07:45 PM)rfaulk34 Wrote: Well, he's on pace for 595 right now... 600+ was for 16 games. Take that up to about 650+ yards with the added game. I also don't think Uzomah will end up with 17.5 YPR by the end of the season lol. I can see him getting 450-550 yards this season though with around 5 TDs. That's solid, just not "very good" in my book. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - Nate (formerly eliminate08) - 09-17-2021 (09-17-2021, 02:48 PM)ochocincos Wrote: 600+ was for 16 games. We will see, when the bad weather hits I expect him and Sample and the RB's to be targeted more. It also seems like Uzo is different in a good way with Burrow. Burrow just throws to the open man, he doesn't target his Receivers which is what I think can make him so great. That and how he throws into open space while not giving the Defenders a chance. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - ochocincos - 09-17-2021 (09-17-2021, 06:22 PM)Nate (formerly eliminate08) Wrote: We will see, when the bad weather hits I expect him and Sample and the RB's to be targeted more. Maybe I'm wrong about Uzomah. I've been wrong about players many times before. However, it's very rare for a player to ascend into an upper-tier player in their 7th year. Uzomah likely is who he is at this point. He'll get decent production and is a good 4th option, but he's likely not going to be amongst the top 10-12 TEs in the league when it comes to receiving production. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - Nate (formerly eliminate08) - 09-17-2021 (09-17-2021, 06:26 PM)ochocincos Wrote: Maybe I'm wrong about Uzomah. I've been wrong about players many times before. That is all understandable. I don't think Uzo is the long term answer at TE for damn sure this late in his career. I just think he could have his best season this year if he stays healthy. I will be looking for a playmaking, pass catching, TD machine at TE next Draft early. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - fredtoast - 09-18-2021 (09-17-2021, 06:26 PM)ochocincos Wrote: Uzomah likely is who he is at this point. He'll get decent production and is a good 4th option, but he's likely not going to be amongst the top 10-12 TEs in the league when it comes to receiving production. My point is that with our top 3 WR I don't think ANY TE would be in the top 10 playing for the Bengals. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - ochocincos - 09-18-2021 (09-18-2021, 12:19 PM)fredtoast Wrote: My point is that with our top 3 WR I don't think ANY TE would be in the top 10 playing for the Bengals. I don't fully agree with that. I think a TE in this offense can get 70+ targets. Sample+Uzomah+Carter got 71 total last year. In TB's offense, Gronk got 77 targets and had 45 receptions for 623 yards, which was 10th in the league. If the primary TE can stay healthy in this offense, I think he can get enough targets to warrant a Top 10-12 in the league if he is good enough to get production off ~70 targets like Gronk did. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - rfaulk34 - 09-18-2021 (09-18-2021, 05:04 PM)ochocincos Wrote: I don't fully agree with that. 70 targets, in a 16 game season would put him around 15th. If you take that spot for receptions and yards you're looking at... 70 tar, 48 rec, 558 yds, 5 tds 2018, CJ was 64/43/439/3 I think he can surpass that easily with Burrow throwing. Even with the weapons at WR. As silly as it is to extrapolate from 2 games, projected last year he was on pace for 88/64/696/8. Those are top 5 numbers. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - ochocincos - 09-18-2021 (09-18-2021, 05:53 PM)rfaulk34 Wrote: 70 targets, in a 16 game season would put him around 15th. If you take that spot for receptions and yards you're looking at... If he keeps the pace he's on after Game 1, he'll be at 595 yards. However, it's highly unlikely he has a 17.5 YPR. His career average is 9.8 YPR. I do think he'll average more than 2 rec per game though. Last year he averaged 4.0, and in 2018 he averaged 2.68, so let's speculate 3 per game on average. That'd put him about 500 yards on the season if he averaged 3 rec per game with 9.8 YPR in 17 games. That seems realistic to me. RE: Why am I so damn optimistic? - rfaulk34 - 09-19-2021 (09-18-2021, 10:39 PM)ochocincos Wrote: If he keeps the pace he's on after Game 1, he'll be at 595 yards. I'd only say that i think 9.8 is a bit low with Burrow throwing. In that small sample size last year he was at 10.9. If he stays there on 3 catches a game he can get to 600 yds on the season. With what the WRs should do, that would be more than enough for the position. TBH, i think 10.9 might be just a little low. An "average" TE last year had a 11.2-11.4 ypc. At any rate, he shouldn't be at any kind of disadvantage with Burrow throwing and the WRs that will be out there. The potential should be there to put up some pretty good numbers. I think the "zac doesn't know how to use a TE" is a bit overblown. When the play starts, it's up to Burrow to decide who is the best option based on coverage. |