Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - Printable Version +- Cincinnati Bengals Message Board / Forums - Home of Jungle Noise (https://thebengalsboard.com) +-- Forum: Cincinnati Bengals / NFL (https://thebengalsboard.com/forum-3.html) +--- Forum: JUNGLE NOISE (https://thebengalsboard.com/forum-2.html) +--- Thread: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year (/thread-7244.html) |
RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - Truck_1_0_1_ - 08-15-2016 (08-15-2016, 10:47 PM)Nate (formerly eliminate08) Wrote: Cool Truck, thanks for bringing me back. I was just trying to remember and i was mistaken. No problemo! People were really infatuated with Sharp, just because he was an alternative to Nuge. And because he could punt. But, as usual if these guys were at all good enough, other teams would be knocking on the door, but they haven't gotten jobs anywhere. I like Nuge', but I'm excited to see a new, young kicker come in soon, that we can develop and groom. 2010 was the OSU love (Pettrey), who wasn't even that good to begin with, then Clint Stitser, who could make a 40 yardarm but not a PAT. A new guy, starting out fresh, will be a different story. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - Go Cards - 08-16-2016 In the last 4 years Nugent has averaged ranking 23rd in league in FG %. If it were Dalton ranking 23rd people would be calling for his head. Plus he does not try that many long ones that may be helping his FG % as well. Think he is replaceable. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - TheLeonardLeap - 08-16-2016 (08-15-2016, 12:12 AM)fredtoast Wrote: So basically Nugent is almost never in the bottom ten in FG% yet you think that we can just plug in anyone and he would be better. So basically, the extent of your argument FOR a guy is "at least he is almost never among the 10 worst people at his job." That's supposed to be convincing? The guy is perennially a significantly sub-average kicker. Never claimed he was the worst, but he sure as hell isn't good enough to keep around without ever honestly trying to upgrade. Heck, the only thing keeping him from being even worse is that the Bengals understand his leg limitations and only have him try a 50+ very rarely, and then generally only in favorable conditions. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - fredtoast - 08-16-2016 This is what happens a lot around here. We have a player who is middle of the pack, but far from the worst in the league, ana certain group starts claiming that he has to be cut immediately. They claim that although the player is not close to the worst in the league he can easily be replaced. This is just not how the NFL works. I am not saying that Nugent is great. I also wish we had a consistent top 10 kicker. But it is absurd to make claims like "It is unacceptable to have Nugent on the roster." or "He will be here forever no bad how he plays." or "No other kicker would miss a 45 yard FG." So I am not so much defending Nugent as I am pointing out that the extremist around here have no idea what they are talking about. Hell, one guy even complained that when Nugent does make a kick it is not always right down the middle. The average NFL team attempted 31 FGs last year. And when you look at the FG percentages in the middle of the pack just one miss can move a guy down 10 places in the standings. The differences between the guys in the low 20's and the guys just outside the top 10 is negligible. So while we all wish for an All Pro kicker we also have to remember that Nugent is not the only guy that misses FGs. There were 153 missed FG last year and Nugent only had 5 of them. And last year Nugent was above the league average at both 50+ and 40-50. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - Nate (formerly eliminate08) - 08-16-2016 (08-15-2016, 11:45 PM)Truck_1_0_1_ Wrote: No problemo! Sounds like the way we will be going. The right way. Don't need to cut ties with Nuge for who is out there right now. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - XenoMorph - 08-16-2016 (08-13-2016, 01:18 PM)zygrot24 Wrote: I really don't understand how mike still has a job with us. It has been proven time and time again that you can't count on him. Case in point last night. Now before anyone says " but it's preseason, it doesn't really matter", exactly. Nugent comes in to the first preseason game, absolutely no pressure. and Of course he blows it, and we lose the (albeit preseason) game by a point. he will win some games for us too... 1 missed kick in the preseason doesn't worry me... especially the first attempt of the year. as long as he hits the ones that really matter... (end of the game to win or tie) ill forgive the occansional miss. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - Wyche'sWarrior - 08-17-2016 (08-16-2016, 08:58 AM)fredtoast Wrote: This is what happens a lot around here. We have a player who is middle of the pack, but far from the worst in the league, ana certain group starts claiming that he has to be cut immediately. They claim that although the player is not close to the worst in the league he can easily be replaced. This is just not how the NFL works. Mid to low 20s out of 32 is not "middle of the road".....it's the bottom percentile. Math are hard. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - Truck_1_0_1_ - 08-17-2016 (08-17-2016, 06:21 AM)Wyche Wrote: Mid to low 20s out of 32 is not "middle of the road".....it's the bottom percentile. Math are hard. In Fred's defense, he's right: there aren't 32 kickers every year, about 40-45 actually go out there, so him saying that 20-23 is middle of the pack, is correct. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - Wyche'sWarrior - 08-17-2016 (08-17-2016, 08:16 AM)Truck_1_0_1_ Wrote: In Fred's defense, he's right: there aren't 32 kickers every year, about 40-45 actually go out there, so him saying that 20-23 is middle of the pack, is correct. Yes.....but surely a certain amount of attempts are considered when ranking them. I'm not on a witch hunt....but we missed the boat on Brown, and we need to be trying other options out at the very least to see if we can find a better one. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - fredtoast - 08-17-2016 (08-17-2016, 06:21 AM)Wyche Wrote: Mid to low 20s out of 32 is not "middle of the road".....it's the bottom percentile. Math are hard. Math are hard for you. How big is a "percentile"? Here is the deal. Nugent does not always rank in the mid to low 20's. And with the difference between FG% being do small and the average NFL team attempting 31 FGs the difference between #20 and #10 is about one miss. Nugent is solidly in the middle of the pack. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - BleedNOrange - 08-17-2016 (08-17-2016, 09:17 AM)Wyche Wrote: Yes.....but surely a certain amount of attempts are considered when ranking them. I'm not on a witch hunt....but we missed the boat on Brown, and we need to be trying other options out at the very least to see if we can find a better one. You are correct according to Elias Sports Bureau. They define kickers as "Qualified" as, "To qualify, a player must have at least 1 attempt per team's games played". Using this, here is how Nuge ranks the past 5 years with the Bengals. Ranking/Total # of players who Qualified. 2015 - 23rd/32 2014 - 27th/31 2013 - 23rd/32 2012 - 20th/31 2011 - 8th/31 He has been a career below-average kicker. A lot of the issue people have around here is that it seems that Nuge's job is a lock every year. It doesn't seem like the Bengals bring in serious competition. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - Sled21 - 08-17-2016 (08-17-2016, 10:10 AM)BleedNOrange Wrote: You are correct according to Elias Sports Bureau. They define kickers as "Qualified" as, "To qualify, a player must have at least 1 attempt per team's games played". Using this, here is how Nuge ranks the past 5 years with the Bengals. All those figures can be tossed right out the window, because they are apples and oranges comparisons. To accurately rank Nugent among his peers, you have to compare him almost strictly to AFCN kickers. Comparing his average to kickers for teams that play in warm weather or especially in a dome, let alone in Denver, is ludicrous. If Nugent kicked in 80 degree weather or inside all the time like some of these other kickers, his percentage would skyrocket. Kicking in the AFCN off of frozen or wet turf, in cold weather and in swirling winds is a brutal profession. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - OrlandoBengal - 08-17-2016 (08-17-2016, 10:49 AM)Sled21 Wrote: All those figures can be tossed right out the window, because they are apples and oranges comparisons. To accurately rank Nugent among his peers, you have to compare him almost strictly to AFCN kickers. Comparing his average to kickers for teams that play in warm weather or especially in a dome, let alone in Denver, is ludicrous. If Nugent kicked in 80 degree weather or inside all the time like some of these other kickers, his percentage would skyrocket. Kicking in the AFCN off of frozen or wet turf, in cold weather and in swirling winds is a brutal profession. How often is the field at PBS frozen? Yes, it happens, but it is rare. A kicker in a dome or warm weather still plays half his games on the road... Miami plays at Buffalo, New England, and New York every year. You compare him to other NFL kickers, because that is what he is. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - BleedNOrange - 08-17-2016 (08-17-2016, 10:49 AM)Sled21 Wrote: All those figures can be tossed right out the window, because they are apples and oranges comparisons. To accurately rank Nugent among his peers, you have to compare him almost strictly to AFCN kickers. Comparing his average to kickers for teams that play in warm weather or especially in a dome, let alone in Denver, is ludicrous. If Nugent kicked in 80 degree weather or inside all the time like some of these other kickers, his percentage would skyrocket. Kicking in the AFCN off of frozen or wet turf, in cold weather and in swirling winds is a brutal profession. Ok, here you go. FG% ranks. Year BAL PIT CLE CIN 2015 21 7 11 23 2014 16 5 30 27 2013 T6 5 25 23 2012 T6 7 T2 20 2011 28 31 T17 8 So FG% in the AFCN, Nuge has finished 4th, 3rd, 3rd, 4th, & 1st. Yay. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - PhilHos - 08-17-2016 One thing you can say about Nugent: he's forced Marvin to go for it more when between the other team's 30-40 yard lines. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - Sled21 - 08-17-2016 (08-17-2016, 11:21 AM)OrlandoBengal Wrote: How often is the field at PBS frozen? Yes, it happens, but it is rare. A kicker in a dome or warm weather still plays half his games on the road... Miami plays at Buffalo, New England, and New York every year. You compare him to other NFL kickers, because that is what he is. A dome team kicker gets at least 8 games minimum inside. A warm weather team gets at least 8 games in warm weather. An AFCN kicker gets no home games inside and is guaranteed to have 3 more games played in open AFCN stadiums. That's 11 of 16 games. No way does a dome team or a team like San Diego or Denver not have a kicking advantage when it comes to ranking kickers. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - Sled21 - 08-17-2016 (08-17-2016, 11:25 AM)BleedNOrange Wrote: Ok, here you go. FG% ranks. That may be, but it does not negate the point. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - Wyche'sWarrior - 08-17-2016 (08-17-2016, 09:26 AM)fredtoast Wrote: Math are hard for you. (08-17-2016, 10:10 AM)BleedNOrange Wrote: You are correct according to Elias Sports Bureau. They define kickers as "Qualified" as, "To qualify, a player must have at least 1 attempt per team's games played". Using this, here is how Nuge ranks the past 5 years with the Bengals. *ahem* oh freddy..... .....and sorry for the grammatical error, but you got the gist. As to the bolded, yes BleedNOrange, that is the issue at hand. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - XenoMorph - 08-17-2016 (08-17-2016, 11:21 AM)OrlandoBengal Wrote: How often is the field at PBS frozen? Yes, it happens, but it is rare. A kicker in a dome or warm weather still plays half his games on the road... Miami plays at Buffalo, New England, and New York every year. You compare him to other NFL kickers, because that is what he is. I do believe the actual field itself is heated. RE: Nugent will cost us at least 1 game this year - Sled21 - 08-17-2016 (08-17-2016, 03:43 PM)XenoMorph Wrote: I do believe the actual field itself is heated. But the balls aren't..... |