Posts: 7,208
Threads: 51
Reputation:
49684
Joined: May 2015
(02-24-2022, 04:30 PM)Au165 Wrote: That’s because PFF bends the truth on their every player every play claim, especially when it comes to coverage, but also is loose at times at who is qualified to grade things. When I talk to really smart football minds it’s people who’ve been tied to the NFL who watch a lot of tape from a team perspective. I think PFF is a great place for advanced stats but grades you must be VERY VERY careful with. I once talked to a scout who told a story about their grades on a player in a game who was graded really high by PFF was trash because he wasn’t doing what they asked him to do and he fluked into a couple plays because the QB made some dumb decisions.
When people say every team uses PFF it’s a bit misleading, every team uses their advanced stats basically none of them use their grades that fans like to quote.
Thing is, last year PFF was one of the only outlets drumming up Bates as an elite S. I mean, he was only voted the 7th best S by his peers in the NFL 100. I don't disagree that their methods for player grades are flawed, but that same method touted him as a football god last year and one of the worst players at his position this year. If you look at other sources like PFR's Passer Rating Allowed When Targeted or even just his raw stats, every data point you can find indicates that his play dropped off sharply this year. With any rating or statistic generated by human perception, there will be some margin for error. Sometimes, that will work against a player, other times it will play to his advantage, but it will typically balance out given a large enough sample size.
The other reality is that without that PFF rating from last year, he isn't 2nd team All Pro. How many Bengals games do we really think the writers that voted watched? It's not like Bates is a flashy highlight machine like Troy Polamalu or putting up crazy interception stats. In regards to his contract leverage, he has to take the bad with the good from PFF.
Apart from all that, anybody with eyes could tell the Jessie Bates we got in the playoffs was a far cry from the one we got in the regular season. It's very obvious he tanked it during the regular season.
Posts: 8,819
Threads: 219
Reputation:
29966
Joined: May 2015
Location: Fredericksburg Virginia
(02-24-2022, 07:06 PM)bfine32 Wrote: You tell me I'm talking about two totally different situations but you compare resigning Iloka and Williams to resigning Bates and Bell? Bates will command more than the combined salaries we gave Iloka and Williams.
This is what happens when talks come to re-signing players. You're not willing to re-sign a player before you even know what he's demanding? You don't like him.
I've said I have 0 problem with signing Williams, but I'd prefer to keep Bell over him. In his short time here he's proved to be the equal player and superior leader to Bates...But I'm sure JuJu Smith-Schuster would prefer we keep Bates instead of Bell in the AFC North
That was 6 years ago things have changed since then. Comparing salaries from then to now is just plain silly.
Bates and Bell are the best safety tandem bin the league their is zero reason to break them up. I think both should get major extensions this season.
Posts: 38,926
Threads: 922
Reputation:
132519
Joined: May 2015
(02-25-2022, 12:08 AM)J24 Wrote: That was 6 years ago things have changed since then. Comparing salaries from then to now is just plain silly.
Bates and Bell are the best safety tandem bin the league their is zero reason to break them up. I think both should get major extensions this season.
Okey Dokey. You think signing Iloka and Williams is the same as signing Bell and Bates and I don't.
Posts: 26,220
Threads: 656
Reputation:
247937
Joined: May 2015
Location: Jackson, OH
(02-24-2022, 10:27 PM)Whatever Wrote: Thing is, last year PFF was one of the only outlets drumming up Bates as an elite S.
How can that be the case, he was selected to the All-Pro team.
Volson is meh, but I like him, and he has far exceeded my expectations
-Frank Booth 1/9/23
Posts: 7,208
Threads: 51
Reputation:
49684
Joined: May 2015
(02-25-2022, 09:10 AM)SunsetBengal Wrote: How can that be the case, he was selected to the All-Pro team.
That was addressed in the rest of the post.
Posts: 18,828
Threads: 467
Reputation:
120815
Joined: May 2015
Location: Nashville, TN
(02-25-2022, 09:10 AM)SunsetBengal Wrote: How can that be the case, he was selected to the All-Pro team.
*2nd AP team. PFF's 1st team.
Fitzpatrick, Mathieu, and Baker were voted 1st AP team.
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2020/allpro.htm
Zac Taylor 2019-2020: 6 total wins
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. If he can turn this into a playoff appearance, it will be impressive.
Sorry for Party Rocking!
Posts: 26,220
Threads: 656
Reputation:
247937
Joined: May 2015
Location: Jackson, OH
(02-25-2022, 11:03 AM)Whatever Wrote: That was addressed in the rest of the post.
Yes, the rest of the post where you lead up to accusing the man of "tanking". You say that only PFF gave him any rating, but PFF doesn't select the All-Pro team, sports writers from the entire country do, so obviously many more people that just those at PFF thought very highly of Jessie Bates play.
If you have some sort of bias against Jessie Bates, that's fine by me, but no need to go making stuff up to support a point that isn't even true.
Volson is meh, but I like him, and he has far exceeded my expectations
-Frank Booth 1/9/23
Posts: 7,798
Threads: 858
Reputation:
128435
Joined: May 2015
Location: Ohio
I wish we had some realistic idea what Bates and his agent are wanting. Are they pushing for an Adams level (or more) type deal, or is he willing to take a Baker range deal? That makes a huge difference in terms of getting a new deal done.
Posts: 28,175
Threads: 352
Reputation:
242417
Joined: Aug 2016
(02-25-2022, 12:41 PM)Bengalholic Wrote: I wish we had some realistic idea what Bates and his agent are wanting. Are they pushing for an Adams level (or more) type deal, or is he willing to take a Baker range deal? That makes a huge difference in terms of getting a new deal done.
Like always with the Bengals, I’m guessing the issue is the guaranteed money.
Posts: 18,828
Threads: 467
Reputation:
120815
Joined: May 2015
Location: Nashville, TN
(02-25-2022, 12:41 PM)Bengalholic Wrote: I wish we had some realistic idea what Bates and his agent are wanting. Are they pushing for an Adams level (or more) type deal, or is he willing to take a Baker range deal? That makes a huge difference in terms of getting a new deal done.
Reality is Bates is right there with both Adams and Baker in terms of production.
Bates is a better coverage safety than both Adams and Baker, putting up more PDs and INTs than either guy the past 4 years.
Adams and Baker actually attack the LOS more though, so they get more tackles, sacks, and TFLs.
Bates could probably make an argument that he would too if he were used like that.
Baker signed a 4-year, $59 mill deal. $14.75 mill APY
Adams signed a 4-year, $70 mill deal. $17.5 mill APY
At the end of the day, I see Bates being justifiably in the $15-17 mill range.
So it's probably in the Bengals' best interest to tag him this year ($12.9 mill) to save a bit of $$.
Zac Taylor 2019-2020: 6 total wins
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. If he can turn this into a playoff appearance, it will be impressive.
Sorry for Party Rocking!
Posts: 3,124
Threads: 75
Reputation:
19563
Joined: Feb 2017
I would post the link to where I saw this if I remembered where it was I saw it. It was a day or two ago but i recall seeing 5 years for 70 mil is what he was seeking.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Posts: 3,827
Threads: 36
Reputation:
21840
Joined: May 2015
(02-25-2022, 04:01 PM)BenZoo2 Wrote: I would post the link to where I saw this if I remembered where it was I saw it. It was a day or two ago but i recall seeing 5 years for 70 mil is what he was seeking.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
I saw the same thing. If that’s what they’re looking for, I imagine that we eventually get something done, and they’ll just be working out the final details.
That’s only a bit above what the franchise tag for him would be.
Posts: 7,208
Threads: 51
Reputation:
49684
Joined: May 2015
(02-25-2022, 11:49 AM)SunsetBengal Wrote: Yes, the rest of the post where you lead up to accusing the man of "tanking". You say that only PFF gave him any rating, but PFF doesn't select the All-Pro team, sports writers from the entire country do, so obviously many more people that just those at PFF thought very highly of Jessie Bates play.
If you have some sort of bias against Jessie Bates, that's fine by me, but no need to go making stuff up to support a point that isn't even true.
I never said that PFF was the only outlet pimping him. I said they were one of the only outlets pimping him. If you want to play "gotcha" games, that's fine, but you have to respond to what the other person actually said.
Bates himself has all but admitted he tanked the season. If you need more proof than the man's own words, watch him in the playoffs vs the regular season. Is anyone seriously going to argue that he gave his best effort in the regular season?
I don't know Bates at all. I have nothing for or against him on a personal level. I'm not a fan of paying top market value for safeties because of their relative ease of replacement. That said, if Bates played in '21 like he did in '20, his contract demands would be justified and I wouldn't have an issue paying him at an elite level. He didn't, but he still wants to be paid at an elite level.
Posts: 18,828
Threads: 467
Reputation:
120815
Joined: May 2015
Location: Nashville, TN
(02-25-2022, 07:11 PM)Whatever Wrote: I never said that PFF was the only outlet pimping him. I said they were one of the only outlets pimping him. If you want to play "gotcha" games, that's fine, but you have to respond to what the other person actually said.
Bates himself has all but admitted he tanked the season. If you need more proof than the man's own words, watch him in the playoffs vs the regular season. Is anyone seriously going to argue that he gave his best effort in the regular season?
I don't know Bates at all. I have nothing for or against him on a personal level. I'm not a fan of paying top market value for safeties because of their relative ease of replacement. That said, if Bates played in '21 like he did in '20, his contract demands would be justified and I wouldn't have an issue paying him at an elite level. He didn't, but he still wants to be paid at an elite level.
He didn't though.
He said that the contract situation distracted him.
The term "tank" implies intentionally dropping performance.
He didn't intentionally do it, he just lost focus because of the contract situation, and it affected his play.
Zac Taylor 2019-2020: 6 total wins
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. If he can turn this into a playoff appearance, it will be impressive.
Sorry for Party Rocking!
Posts: 26,220
Threads: 656
Reputation:
247937
Joined: May 2015
Location: Jackson, OH
(02-25-2022, 07:11 PM)Whatever Wrote: I never said that PFF was the only outlet pimping him. I said they were one of the only outlets pimping him. If you want to play "gotcha" games, that's fine, but you have to respond to what the other person actually said.
Bates himself has all but admitted he tanked the season. If you need more proof than the man's own words, watch him in the playoffs vs the regular season. Is anyone seriously going to argue that he gave his best effort in the regular season?
I don't know Bates at all. I have nothing for or against him on a personal level. I'm not a fan of paying top market value for safeties because of their relative ease of replacement. That said, if Bates played in '21 like he did in '20, his contract demands would be justified and I wouldn't have an issue paying him at an elite level. He didn't, but he still wants to be paid at an elite level.
Quote:Thing is, last year PFF was one of the only outlets drumming up Bates as an elite S.
If that sentence isn't implying that PFF was the only major source rating Bates highly, I don't know what is. All I did was simply point out that the All-Pro team is selected by sports writers from across the entire Nation, and not PFF.
Now, you're still clinging to the idea that somehow an elite player, in a contract season, somehow went out there and purposely tried to make the team lose, even going so far as to say that he even said it with his own mouth?? I'm going to cut you some slack, as I don't think that the word "tanked" means what you think it means.
Volson is meh, but I like him, and he has far exceeded my expectations
-Frank Booth 1/9/23
Posts: 7,208
Threads: 51
Reputation:
49684
Joined: May 2015
(02-25-2022, 07:22 PM)ochocincos Wrote: He didn't though.
He said that the contract situation distracted him.
The term "tank" implies intentionally dropping performance.
He didn't intentionally do it, he just lost focus because of the contract situation, and it affected his play.
If a movie, stock, etc., "tanked" it doesn't mean it failed deliberately, just that it failed. I think people are getting hung up on a word that can be used a variety of different ways simply because it's been a buzzword with Flores recently in a different context. I don't think Bates intentionally tried to sabotage the team, but he played poorly and did not put forth his efforts by his own admission.
1
Posts: 26,220
Threads: 656
Reputation:
247937
Joined: May 2015
Location: Jackson, OH
(02-25-2022, 08:00 PM)Whatever Wrote: If a movie, stock, etc., "tanked" it doesn't mean it failed deliberately, just that it failed. I think people are getting hung up on a word that can be used a variety of different ways simply because it's been a buzzword with Flores recently in a different context. I don't think Bates intentionally tried to sabotage the team, but he played poorly and did not put forth his efforts by his own admission.
Quote:tank
verb
tanked; tanking; tanks
Definition of tank (Entry 2 of 2)
transitive verb
1: to make no effort to win : lose intentionallytanked the match
2: to place, store, or treat in a tank
intransitive verb
1: to lose intentionally : give up in competition
2: to suffer rapid decline, failure, or collapsebought a stock that quickly tanked
Volson is meh, but I like him, and he has far exceeded my expectations
-Frank Booth 1/9/23
Posts: 18,828
Threads: 467
Reputation:
120815
Joined: May 2015
Location: Nashville, TN
Zac Taylor 2019-2020: 6 total wins
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. If he can turn this into a playoff appearance, it will be impressive.
Sorry for Party Rocking!
Posts: 2,235
Threads: 69
Reputation:
11279
Joined: Mar 2017
Location: Alexandria, KY
The absolute SHIT STORM we will see if Bates isn't at least tagged by tomorrow.
"Whose kitty litter did I just s*** in?"
"He got Ajax from the dish soap!"
Posts: 11,627
Threads: 131
Reputation:
59367
Joined: May 2015
(03-07-2022, 02:35 PM)Bengalpool Wrote: The absolute SHIT STORM we will see if Bates isn't at least tagged by tomorrow.
I was told this weekend the tag is coming but they are going to negotiate up until the last minute, or until talks completely break down, to negotiated.
|