Posts: 752
Threads: 62
Reputation:
3080
Joined: Apr 2017
ESPN simulation predicts the Bengals get blown out, 37-9, this Monday night. I have mad respect for the Bills but a 28 point win? Hoping for a great game and a win but, regardless, the Bengals are in the playoffs and the future is now. Who Dey!
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/35330806/predicting-nfl-playoff-picture-espn-football-power-index-projects-weeks-17-18-division-races-wild-card-hunts
Posts: 14,281
Threads: 294
Reputation:
31560
Joined: May 2015
Las Vegas ain't taking that bet on a dare..
In the immortal words of my old man, "Wait'll you get to be my age!"
Chicago sounds rough to the maker of verse, but the one comfort we have is Cincinnati sounds worse. ~Oliver Wendal Holmes Sr.
Posts: 752
Threads: 62
Reputation:
3080
Joined: Apr 2017
(12-29-2022, 09:01 PM)grampahol Wrote: Las Vegas ain't taking that bet on a dare..
You got that right. I would put my house down on that bet. And, even if I lost, I have a great story to tell to my fellow homeless compatriots on my way to the soup kitchen.
Posts: 16,025
Threads: 249
Reputation:
182944
Joined: May 2015
Location: Ohio
LOL they also have the Raiders beating the 49ers, I doubt that, a lot.
1
Posts: 14,281
Threads: 294
Reputation:
31560
Joined: May 2015
Don't hate us because we're beautiful ESPN.. We actually wash ourselves..Well, most of us do anyway. 
In the immortal words of my old man, "Wait'll you get to be my age!"
Chicago sounds rough to the maker of verse, but the one comfort we have is Cincinnati sounds worse. ~Oliver Wendal Holmes Sr.
Posts: 9,024
Threads: 51
Reputation:
47428
Joined: May 2015
Location: Top floor of the Better Business Burrow
Meh, they made a lot of crap predictions. Raiders beating the Niners? Sure, whatever. They have the crap Bears clobbering the Lions after said Bears have dropped eight in a row and are 0-4 in the NFCN. Clickbait to the nth degree.
Posts: 14,622
Threads: 2,113
Reputation:
82482
Joined: May 2015
I can't even get upset at this it is so ridiculously ludicrous. It is more laughable than anything.
Winning makes believers of us all
Posts: 8,112
Threads: 130
Reputation:
53210
Joined: May 2015
Location: Cincinnati
Quote:Walder explained why he pulled this exact simulation in the piece.
"Using ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI), we determined the most likely seed combination in each conference. We then picked a single simulation that yielded that pure chalk playoff seeding to forecast scores for each game and simulate the postseason. There's a 9% chance the NFC seeds are in the exact order that's written below, and there's a 12% chance of the same occurring for the AFC. That might not sound like a lot, but it's a fairly high probability for an exact hit; both numbers are higher than when we did this exercise last season.
https://www.si.com/nfl/bengals/allbengals-insiders-plus/espn-model-projects-bengals-to-get-blown-out-by-buffalo-win-afc-north
Basically, they just ran a bunch of simulations to come up with the odds of how each playoff seeding would play out. Then, they just picked a single simulation that matched what their simulations considered the most likely situation.
That single simulation happened to have the Bengals getting blown out.
This isn't a projection of each individual game as much as it was a projection of what the end result of the next two weeks will be, and they used the scores from a single simulation in which that projection happened to occur.
Posts: 1,495
Threads: 69
Reputation:
4430
Joined: May 2015
Location: Eaton OH
(12-29-2022, 08:56 PM)Chezaugie Wrote: ESPN simulation predicts the Bengals get blown out, 37-9, this Monday night. I have mad respect for the Bills but a 28 point win? Hoping for a great game and a win but, regardless, the Bengals are in the playoffs and the future is now. Who Dey!
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/35330806/predicting-nfl-playoff-picture-espn-football-power-index-projects-weeks-17-18-division-races-wild-card-hunts
I could see the other way around. 
To each his own... unless you belong to a political party...
Posts: 342
Threads: 0
Reputation:
459
Joined: Sep 2020
Bills are -1! This again proves the cluelessness of ESPN! They are owned by Disney!!!!!!
1
Posts: 3,827
Threads: 36
Reputation:
21840
Joined: May 2015
I guarantee that whoever made that bet would not put any cash on it. Predictions like this are silly…basically a shot in the dark, and it has no more weight than any random dude’s 30 point Bengals blowout prediction. Pay it no mind.
Posts: 4,390
Threads: 52
Reputation:
11979
Joined: May 2015
Location: Cincinnati, OH
Little do they know that the game will end 124 - 3 Bengals. We will have 7 safeties too.
Posts: 627
Threads: 2
Reputation:
4529
Joined: Sep 2015
Location: OH!
(12-30-2022, 12:59 AM)Crazyjdawg Wrote: This isn't a projection of each individual game as much as it was a projection of what the end result of the next two weeks will be, and they used the scores from a single simulation in which that projection happened to occur.
So it doesn't mean what seems and they know that. But they went ahead and wrote a story implying that it does anyway just to get clicks. Yeah, that's pretty much corporate media in a nutshell.
Posts: 8,112
Threads: 130
Reputation:
53210
Joined: May 2015
Location: Cincinnati
(12-30-2022, 03:54 AM)Roland Wrote: So it doesn't mean what seems and they know that. But they went ahead and wrote a story implying that it does anyway just to get clicks. Yeah, that's pretty much corporate media in a nutshell.
I don't blame them for it. After all, it worked like a charm.
Clicks are currency and the way our country (and, for the most part, world) is structured, profit is more important than anything else.
As they say, don't hate the player, hate the game.
Posts: 8,647
Threads: 301
Reputation:
72955
Joined: Jan 2016
Location: Kettering, Ohio
After the Bengals win the Super Bowl they’ll still be fifth in the power rankings!
1
1
Posts: 189
Threads: 5
Reputation:
1545
Joined: Feb 2022
NFL.com's preview video has all but 2 analysts choosing the Bengals, so i dunno. I know we all want our teams to be an underdog and win anyway, but ESPN is just one predection.
Posts: 36,132
Threads: 49
Reputation:
233529
Joined: May 2015
Location: Star Valley, Wyoming
(12-30-2022, 02:55 AM)Brownshoe Wrote: Little do they know that the game will end 124 - 3 Bengals. We will have 7 safeties too.
Might as well throw something like this out there with this craziness. Only way we lose like that is if something really bad happened.
Posts: 18,621
Threads: 462
Reputation:
118131
Joined: May 2015
Location: Nashville, TN
I didn't know Marvin Lewis was coaching this game
Zac Taylor 2019-2020: 6 total wins
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. If he can turn this into a playoff appearance, it will be impressive.
Sorry for Party Rocking!
Posts: 1,414
Threads: 48
Reputation:
2287
Joined: Oct 2021
(12-29-2022, 09:07 PM)bengalfan74 Wrote: LOL they also have the Raiders beating the 49ers, I doubt that, a lot.
hahahahahah\
hahahhahaha
Posts: 2,610
Threads: 2
Reputation:
12120
Joined: Oct 2020
(12-29-2022, 09:07 PM)bengalfan74 Wrote: LOL they also have the Raiders beating the 49ers, I doubt that, a lot.
Falcons 22, Cardinals 21
Giants 34, Colts 0
Patriots 13, Dolphins 10
Buccaneers 24, Panthers 21
Some point differentials weren't that far off.
|
![[Image: 4CV0TeR.png]](https://i.imgur.com/4CV0TeR.png)
![[Image: oN5QAdY.png]](https://i.imgur.com/oN5QAdY.png)
![[Image: oyb7yuz66nd81.jpg]](https://i.redd.it/oyb7yuz66nd81.jpg)
