04-04-2021, 10:34 PM
(04-04-2021, 10:28 PM)WVUHomer Wrote: I'm sure you can easily point out data points that share the same sentiment for any position if you look hard enough.
Actually what happens is that people don't acknowledge how many players are drafted after the first round or signed as UDFA.
Anytime you compare a group of 32 (total first round picks) to a group of a few hundred (total players drafted in later rounds or signed as UDFA) you are going to find a few in the second group that are as good as in the first group. But when you look at the actual odds and mathematical chances it is not easy at all.
For example people can point to Prescott and Cousins as proof that you can find a good QB in the 4th round, but the fact is that they are the only two QBs drafted in the fourth round over the last TWENTY YEARS who have had a 4000 yard passing season. At the same time there have been 22 first round picks who have had 4000 yard passing seasons.
