Report: Burrow pushing for Bengals to draft Chase

[Whatever]

(04-10-2021, 03:30 PM)Shake n Blake Wrote: I don't see how that changes anything. In fact it makes it worse, as these types of impactful snaps (negative and positive) pile up over the course of hundreds of snaps.

To the rest, the time to throw is really what you want to focus on, because the other two stats can be majorly influenced by the offense making short throws to offset pressure. Which is something that will ALSO have a major impact on how much separation our receivers get on average.

26th in time to throw sounds about right. Our line was awful. "It wasn't the worst" isn't what you really want to hang your hat on, is it? Throw Sewell at RT, bump Reiff inside, draft a speed guy in round 2 or 3, and we should see MAJOR improvement.

You are right that time to throw doesn't necessarily = separation, but you want to know what it does mean? Burrow having more time to scan his receivers to see who got the most separation. If he's having to target the first guy he sees because he has no time, that guy is more likely to be covered...which will drag down that separation stat. If he can scan his targets more often, the stat improves. Simple.

With a larger sample size, the variations don't have to be as extreme as the small sample size you used to arrive at the same average.  Your percentages of negative plays are also off in your example.  Burrow was only pressured on 24.1% of his dropbacks and sacked on 7.3%.

No, time to throw isn't what you want to talk about.  Tom Brady was 3rd in the league in Intended Air Yards, but tied for the 9th lowest Time to Throw.  Why?  Because he gets the ball out quick and he has the speed and talent at WR to get downfield quickly so they can throw it quickly and still push the ball down the field.  TB had 4 WR's that generated more separation than any Bengals WR despite having less time on average to work their routes.  Roethlisberger had the lowest Time to Throw in the league last year, but Dionte Johnson and JuJu still generated more separation than both Boyd and Higgins.   

Can Sewell play RT?  Can Reiff move inside without dropping off?  We've had multiple quotes from former NFL OL talking about how it isn't so simple to just have guys change sides and positions.  I don't know how anyone can project a massive improvement when we're literally setting ourselves up for diminishing returns with this plan.  We could very well be better off as a unit by leaving Reiff at RT and drafting a G in 2 than drafting Sewell and forcing 2 guys to move.  

Hypothetically, this could be correct IF our WR's had the speed and burst to maintain separation after they create it.  Say, you have 2 guys running speed outs on opposite sides of the field.  Burrow's primary read is covered, so he goes to his second read on the other hash who is already out of his break and the CB is already starting to close the window.  With WR's that lack burst and speed, there is a much bigger honus on the QB to get the ball out quickly when the receiver gets that initial separation before the window slams shut.