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My final pre-draft thoughts on Chase/Sewell
#55
(04-23-2021, 08:58 PM)Shake n Blake Wrote: I said I wouldn't respond, but this seems a fairly innocuous question, so I'll bite.

If we go Chase, I guess I'd just skip Tackle altogether and look at some interior prospects like Evan Neal or Wyatt Davis. Maybe even a Center. Then I'd shift my focus on begging Reiff to stick around after this year, or we're needing a good right tackle for. the. 6th. year. in. a. row.

I'm just not overly impressed with the tackles some sites have slated for round 2. Not enough to trust them against the best edge rushers this division offers, with Joe Burrow fresh off a knee surgery.

If we go Sewell, I'm looking directly at Terrance Marshall. If he's gone, Rondale Moore and Kadarius Toney look like great, speedy guys with potential in round 2.

This eternal hole at RT is getting absurd. 
   


Also Nico Collins is being slept on unfairly. Trading back up into the bottom of the 3rd, where he is projected to go, could pay huge dividends. His RAS was a very good 9.57 (Chase was 9.88, Rondale Moore was 9.33, and Dyami Brown was 8.38) But beyond that, his WRAPS score was 3rd, trailing only Chase and Pitts!

Quote:WROPS, RAS, and WRAPS

With all of that said, occasionally some players fall through the cracks despite fantastic measurables and elite production. Identifying players who are not expected to go high in the draft despite elite athletic gifts and great college production can help to make or break your draft. In order to help identify receivers I’ve run WROPS (Wide Receiver OPS) for every college receiver, running back, or tight end with at least 30 targets.
For those unfamiliar with WROPS, it combines a receiver’s Catch Percentage and Yards per Reception into one statistic, scaled to baseball’s “OPS” stat. 1.000 is great, .900 is very good, .800 is average, and anything below is sub-par. WROPS is effective in identifying high-level producers because it properly credits all types of receivers by answering the question: “Is your catch percentage good considering the depth of the targets you actually catch?” It is a rate stat, and can also be useful to identify efficient players who may lack targets for various reasons.

If you are unfamiliar with Relative Athletic Score (RAS), it was developed by Kent Lee Platte (@Mathbomb), and aggregates all combine/pro day measurables into a single number on a 10-point scale. RAS does an outstanding job identifying the best athletes in a given class.
Combining the two gives us WRAPS, an aggregate of production and athleticism in one number. A 20+ would be outstanding. Closer to 10 would be bad.

   

Collins is the real deal.

Fueled by satanism, violence, and sodomy, dinosaurs had little chance to survive as a species.

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