05-07-2021, 03:39 PM
OK, let's try a new format, and include the UDFA guys. Again, this is based off the guys we have now. If we sign a legit FA (Leno, Geno, Houston, etc) then I will re-work.
I. Projected Starters = 25
A. Offense = 11
Burrow; Mixon; Chase, Higgins, Boyd; Uzomah; J. Williams, Su'a-Filo, Hopkins, Carman, Reiff.
Tossup between XSF & Spain for LG. They say Hopkins & Uzomah are on schedule to be ready, so I penciled them in.
B. Defense = 11
Hendrickson, Reader, Ogunjobi, Hubbard; L. Wilson, Pratt; Waynes, Awuzie, Hilton; Bell, Bates.
Not much controversey here. Unless Ossai/ Sample wows in camp, which is possible.
C. Specialists = 3.
PK: McPherson
P: Huber
LS: Harris
Drafting a PK is not a guarantee he makes the team (Jake Elliot). But no way we do that twice, right? Heirs to Harris (Godsil) and Huber (Chrisman) in camp, but probably to PS.
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II. Backups who are Roster Locks
A. Offensive Reserve Locks = 4
B. Allen (QB#2); Perine (RB#2); D. Sample (TE#2); Spain (OG#3).
B. Defensive Reserve Locks = 4
Ossai (Edge#3), Davis-Gaither (LB#3), R. Allen (S#3), B. Wilson (S#4/KR).
I was pretty conservative on who I call locks. Still, that is 15 on each side of the ball. 10 spots open on each side.
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III. Probable for 53 man Roster
A. Offensive Probables = 4
Price (C#2), Thomas (WR#4), Tate (WR#5), Smith (OT#4).
I guess it is conceivable Hill wows in camp & we decide to cut Price to save $$, I think we try to see if Pollack can rehab him, despite declining the 5th year option already. It would take two WRs stepping up to bump Thomas (good on ST) or Tate (size in red zone). Could see either getting bumped (Morgan + Lees/Robinson as slot #2), but it is unlikely at this point.
I have Smith in as OT#4. I don't think he is ready to play yet (could be wrong there), so not OT#3. But I also don't think we want to risk another team snapping him up through waivers (which I believe has to happen at least once, even for protected PS guys, right?).
B. Defensive Probables = 6
C. Sample (Edge#4/DL), Shelvin (DT#2), J. Evans (LB#4), Bailey (LB#5), Apple (CB#4), D. Phillips (CB#5/Slot#2).
Pretty straightforward here. No LBs brought in (unless you count Ossai). Evans re-signed. Apple & Phillips seem to have the ibside track amongst a slew of CBs. No way we risk losing C. Sample or Shelvin, although there is some nice DT depth.
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IV. Make or break Roster Battles
A. Offense = 5/6 spots open
OT = 1. Johnson; Adeniji, Prince.
IOL = 1. Hill (C/G), Jordan (G), Sutherland (G/C).
WR = 1. Morgan, Irwin, Washington, Lees, Robinson.
RB = 1. C. Evans, T. Williams, Patrick, P. Williams.
TE = 1. Schreck, Moss, Wilcox, Wells.
WC = 1. Most likely TE#4 or RB#4. Or OL#11 or D #26.
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QB = 0. Most likey only 2 on 53: Shurmur, Hill, Dungey
OT3 is the highest spot on the depth chart open. Both Johnson & Adeniji are Turner's guys. Pollack picked Smith in Rd 4. I'm assuming he makes the 53. Assuming Pollack wants to avoid losing his guys and would be more willing to risk a Turner guy. Which bodes well for Hill over Jordan.
Depends on how ready Hill is contribute right away & if Pollack thinks Jordan/Price can be rehabbed. Hope we bring in a vet OT, but I'd give the edge to Fred & Hill at the moment. Jordan & Adeniji to PS or out. Could keep 11.
WR6 is also interesting. If one assumes Thomas & Tate are safe, then there is one spot left. Morgan would seem to have the lead. But is not a natural replacement for Erickson (slot/PR guy). That would be Lees or Robinson. Could see Morgan + Lees/Robinson make it & one of Tate/Thomas not. We kept 7 last year. I doubt that happens again.
RB3. I think Evans makes it over T. Williams. Patrick is a big back/Perine insurance. P. Williams a PS guy. Could keep 4. Think we kept 4 last year.
TE3. I give Moss the edge. Schreck on PS. Could keep 4.
Don't think there is room for 3 QBs on the 53. Not for these guys, anyway. 1 to PS.
B. Defense: 4/5 spots open
DT = 1/2. Tupou, Daniels, Wren, McKenzie, A. Williams
DE = 1/0. Kareem, Hubert, Bledsoe, Akimoladun, Hodge
CB = 1. Brown, Davis, Rose, A. Phillips, Lewis
LB = 0/1. Jones.
S = 0/1. Henderson.
DL is the most interesting here. I only have 7 of 10 likely spots claimed (4 DEs, 3 DTs). But 2 of my DEs (Hubbard, Sample) can likely cone inside on 3rd down. As can Kareem. So maybe we keep fewer DTs. However, none of the DEs listed here who played last year distinguished themselves rushing the passer (Kareem, Bledsoe, Akinmoladun). Tupou is the best player, but he sat out last year and is more of a NT. Daniels is likely the #2 3T, but he was not gangbusters either. Wren has been hurt for 2 years. Could see us keeping 10 or 9 or even 11.
At 10. I like Daniels for the #2 3T. That's 8. Last 2 spots = #3 NT (Tupou), #3 3T (Wren), or #5 DE (Kareem/Hubert). Pick 2.
I think we carry 6 CBs. Brown has inside track, but we brought in a bunch of guys. Not sure D. Phillips (he yaps about PT a lot) or Apple are completely safe if someone wows in camp.
I think 5 LBs and 4 Ss are the limit.
VI. Backup Specialists = PS Candidates = 3
I think Huber, Harris and McPherson are safe, but insurance and competition are good. I'd bet on Godsil (LS) and Chrisman (P) to make the PS. with an eye to replacing Harris/Huber in the near future. Last year proved a PK on the PS ain't a bad idea either. Seibert.
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Whew.
I. Projected Starters = 25
A. Offense = 11
Burrow; Mixon; Chase, Higgins, Boyd; Uzomah; J. Williams, Su'a-Filo, Hopkins, Carman, Reiff.
Tossup between XSF & Spain for LG. They say Hopkins & Uzomah are on schedule to be ready, so I penciled them in.
B. Defense = 11
Hendrickson, Reader, Ogunjobi, Hubbard; L. Wilson, Pratt; Waynes, Awuzie, Hilton; Bell, Bates.
Not much controversey here. Unless Ossai/ Sample wows in camp, which is possible.
C. Specialists = 3.
PK: McPherson
P: Huber
LS: Harris
Drafting a PK is not a guarantee he makes the team (Jake Elliot). But no way we do that twice, right? Heirs to Harris (Godsil) and Huber (Chrisman) in camp, but probably to PS.
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II. Backups who are Roster Locks
A. Offensive Reserve Locks = 4
B. Allen (QB#2); Perine (RB#2); D. Sample (TE#2); Spain (OG#3).
B. Defensive Reserve Locks = 4
Ossai (Edge#3), Davis-Gaither (LB#3), R. Allen (S#3), B. Wilson (S#4/KR).
I was pretty conservative on who I call locks. Still, that is 15 on each side of the ball. 10 spots open on each side.
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III. Probable for 53 man Roster
A. Offensive Probables = 4
Price (C#2), Thomas (WR#4), Tate (WR#5), Smith (OT#4).
I guess it is conceivable Hill wows in camp & we decide to cut Price to save $$, I think we try to see if Pollack can rehab him, despite declining the 5th year option already. It would take two WRs stepping up to bump Thomas (good on ST) or Tate (size in red zone). Could see either getting bumped (Morgan + Lees/Robinson as slot #2), but it is unlikely at this point.
I have Smith in as OT#4. I don't think he is ready to play yet (could be wrong there), so not OT#3. But I also don't think we want to risk another team snapping him up through waivers (which I believe has to happen at least once, even for protected PS guys, right?).
B. Defensive Probables = 6
C. Sample (Edge#4/DL), Shelvin (DT#2), J. Evans (LB#4), Bailey (LB#5), Apple (CB#4), D. Phillips (CB#5/Slot#2).
Pretty straightforward here. No LBs brought in (unless you count Ossai). Evans re-signed. Apple & Phillips seem to have the ibside track amongst a slew of CBs. No way we risk losing C. Sample or Shelvin, although there is some nice DT depth.
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IV. Make or break Roster Battles
A. Offense = 5/6 spots open
OT = 1. Johnson; Adeniji, Prince.
IOL = 1. Hill (C/G), Jordan (G), Sutherland (G/C).
WR = 1. Morgan, Irwin, Washington, Lees, Robinson.
RB = 1. C. Evans, T. Williams, Patrick, P. Williams.
TE = 1. Schreck, Moss, Wilcox, Wells.
WC = 1. Most likely TE#4 or RB#4. Or OL#11 or D #26.
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QB = 0. Most likey only 2 on 53: Shurmur, Hill, Dungey
OT3 is the highest spot on the depth chart open. Both Johnson & Adeniji are Turner's guys. Pollack picked Smith in Rd 4. I'm assuming he makes the 53. Assuming Pollack wants to avoid losing his guys and would be more willing to risk a Turner guy. Which bodes well for Hill over Jordan.
Depends on how ready Hill is contribute right away & if Pollack thinks Jordan/Price can be rehabbed. Hope we bring in a vet OT, but I'd give the edge to Fred & Hill at the moment. Jordan & Adeniji to PS or out. Could keep 11.
WR6 is also interesting. If one assumes Thomas & Tate are safe, then there is one spot left. Morgan would seem to have the lead. But is not a natural replacement for Erickson (slot/PR guy). That would be Lees or Robinson. Could see Morgan + Lees/Robinson make it & one of Tate/Thomas not. We kept 7 last year. I doubt that happens again.
RB3. I think Evans makes it over T. Williams. Patrick is a big back/Perine insurance. P. Williams a PS guy. Could keep 4. Think we kept 4 last year.
TE3. I give Moss the edge. Schreck on PS. Could keep 4.
Don't think there is room for 3 QBs on the 53. Not for these guys, anyway. 1 to PS.
B. Defense: 4/5 spots open
DT = 1/2. Tupou, Daniels, Wren, McKenzie, A. Williams
DE = 1/0. Kareem, Hubert, Bledsoe, Akimoladun, Hodge
CB = 1. Brown, Davis, Rose, A. Phillips, Lewis
LB = 0/1. Jones.
S = 0/1. Henderson.
DL is the most interesting here. I only have 7 of 10 likely spots claimed (4 DEs, 3 DTs). But 2 of my DEs (Hubbard, Sample) can likely cone inside on 3rd down. As can Kareem. So maybe we keep fewer DTs. However, none of the DEs listed here who played last year distinguished themselves rushing the passer (Kareem, Bledsoe, Akinmoladun). Tupou is the best player, but he sat out last year and is more of a NT. Daniels is likely the #2 3T, but he was not gangbusters either. Wren has been hurt for 2 years. Could see us keeping 10 or 9 or even 11.
At 10. I like Daniels for the #2 3T. That's 8. Last 2 spots = #3 NT (Tupou), #3 3T (Wren), or #5 DE (Kareem/Hubert). Pick 2.
I think we carry 6 CBs. Brown has inside track, but we brought in a bunch of guys. Not sure D. Phillips (he yaps about PT a lot) or Apple are completely safe if someone wows in camp.
I think 5 LBs and 4 Ss are the limit.
VI. Backup Specialists = PS Candidates = 3
I think Huber, Harris and McPherson are safe, but insurance and competition are good. I'd bet on Godsil (LS) and Chrisman (P) to make the PS. with an eye to replacing Harris/Huber in the near future. Last year proved a PK on the PS ain't a bad idea either. Seibert.
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Whew.
