09-12-2021, 10:00 PM
(09-12-2021, 09:56 PM)Synric Wrote: The percentage is a generalization if you go for it on 4th down and you have a 65% chance off success but spot the opposing team at the very least 3 points is that worth 35% or is playing field position the better chess move?
3rd Quarter up by 14 on your own 30 going for it on 4th and 1 was a bad decision especially with your defensive playing well.
I think the reality is if they score on that drive the game is over. He played the odds on the situation with the potential outcome a back breaker based on momentum and he struck out. He probably thought they’d hold them to 3 and keep it a two score game, but lost in all of this is the D did give up a TD on 4th down.