09-21-2021, 01:32 PM
I am adding another metric that I will keep track of in this thread. This metric is an adjusted passer rating and is based upon work that Brian Burke did along with some adjustments that Wayne Winston made, the author of "Mathletics: How Gamblers, Managers, and Sports Enthusiasts Use Mathematics in Baseball, Basketball, and Football". The formula is as follows...
(1.543(passing yards - sack yards)/passing attempts) - 50.0957(interceptions thrown/passing attempts)
The coefficients of this formula come from Brian Burke's work, which is a bit dated at the moment (2007) but the results still hold up well. If I can find the time, I would like to re-run the linear regression to get new coefficients for this formula to attempt to make it more accurate for today's game, but for now, this will work. The result of this formula brings us an 'adjusted' passer rating which attempts to paint a picture of which QBs are helping their team win more games via their passing abilities.
Here are the current rankings by this adjusted rating.
![[Image: iICggQt.png]](https://i.imgur.com/iICggQt.png)
And for reference, here are last seasons ratings.
![[Image: ghrTtM5.png]](https://i.imgur.com/ghrTtM5.png)
(1.543(passing yards - sack yards)/passing attempts) - 50.0957(interceptions thrown/passing attempts)
The coefficients of this formula come from Brian Burke's work, which is a bit dated at the moment (2007) but the results still hold up well. If I can find the time, I would like to re-run the linear regression to get new coefficients for this formula to attempt to make it more accurate for today's game, but for now, this will work. The result of this formula brings us an 'adjusted' passer rating which attempts to paint a picture of which QBs are helping their team win more games via their passing abilities.
Here are the current rankings by this adjusted rating.
And for reference, here are last seasons ratings.
