09-23-2021, 11:10 AM
(09-22-2021, 09:42 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: If you have a lot of 1 score losses, it isn't because you were close, it isn't bad luck. It just means you're not good.
Actually some of it is bad luck and the stats prove it.
When a team has a lot of very close losses or very close wins in one season (the study I saw was 3 points or less instead of "one score") then there is generally a regression to the mean the next season. The teams that had a lot of close losses improve while the teams with lots of close wins decline.
But your point about most NFL games being decided by "one score or less" is accurate.
