09-25-2021, 03:56 PM
(09-25-2021, 01:27 PM)fredtoast Wrote: The fact that Tee has more targets indicates that he is getting open more often than Chase or Boyd.
Very few catches involve the WR and DB both getting their hands on the ball and the WR winning the battle. If a DB can get his hand on the ball the WR almost never makes the catch. That is why I wonder how they define "contested" targets. It seems every single back shoulder throw would be "contested" but if thrown properly it is almost impossible to defend.
What is the average catch percentage for WRs on "contested targets"? Maybe that would give me some more perspective.
Not according to nextgen stats. Many of the most productive WRs have low separation numbers while many scrub WRs have high sparation number.
That's not necessarily true. AJ was literally almost never open last year and he got tons of targets. It's not uncommon for a QB to try forcing the ball in to get someone going.
That said the sample size, for any statistic so far this year, is only 2 games so we don't really know anything yet.
