10-03-2021, 01:27 PM
(10-03-2021, 12:37 PM)EatonFan Wrote: Totally disagree. You go up by three scores there. If it's in the middle of the 1st quarter I'd agree, but not with less than a minute, on the road to go up by 17.
It's a matter of which decision gives you a better chance of victory, and is it worth it? If you kick the FG, Jax has a 74% chance of winning. If they go for it and get it, they have an 80% chance of winning. You're going to convert a 4th and 1 ROUGHLY 60% of the time.
To be honest with you, a 21-0 deficit at halftime should be more than 80% chance of victory. That is a blowout. That game would have been done and over with. It was a good call. Didn't work out, thankfully, but a good call.