10-06-2021, 09:31 PM
(10-06-2021, 09:03 PM)rfaulk34 Wrote: Here are the breakdowns for each guy, by depth of pass.
Herbert:
Deep (20+) 46.2%, 169 yds, 13 ypa, 1 td, 0 int, 118.3 rating, 94.1 grade
Inter(10-19) 56.4%, 398 yds, 10.2 ypa, 3 td, 3 int, 85.2 rating, 67.7 grade
Short (0-9) 82.7%, 542 yds, 6.7 ypa, 5 td, 0 int, 115.1 rating, 90.8 grade
behind LoS, 94.7%, 69 yds, 3.6 ypa, 0 td, 0 int, 81.8 rating, 68.7 grade
Burrow:
Deep (20+) 41.7 %, 195 yds, 16.3 ypa, 3 td, 0 int, 128.5 rating, 90.7 grade
Inter(10-19) 84.2 %, 288 yds, 15.2 ypa, 2 td, 2 int, 114.3 rating, 92.6 grade
Short (0-9) 76.7 %, 457 yds, 7.6 ypa, 4 td, 2 int, 106.0 rating, 68.3 grade
behind LoS, 84.6 %, 48 yds, 3.7 ypa, 0 td, 0 int, 82.1 rating, 63.1 rating
Assuming these are for the 4 games this year.
The grade difference definitely supports a 30% difference in favor of Burrow on the intermediate passes, but it washed out with a 30% difference in favor of Herbert on the short pass.
Everything else is pretty close, which doesn't change my opinion that either choice would have been a good one, and I also agree with what you, at least I think it was you, said about the Bengals making the 'safe' pick!