11-02-2021, 04:32 PM
Browns have a good offense but a not-so-great defense. On top of that, the Browns defense has been even worse on the road than at home. On the flip side, the Bengals have a good offense and great defense, but Cincinnati has had some offensive and defensive woes at home (ranked 29th in the league in offensive EPA per play when playing at home, 21st in defensive EPA per play at home).
Looking at that data, it doesn't look so promising. Cleveland has had some strong offensive performances on the road this season. However, I think that Cincinnati has really found their groove over the past month, sporting the leagues 7th best offense and 9th best defense since the Packers game. Cleveland, on the other hand, has the leagues 31st ranked defense and 17th best offense over that same time span. So, with all of that being said...
Give me Cincinnati. I think they'll have a strong performance at home and beat up an injured Browns squad. Bengals by 13.
Looking at that data, it doesn't look so promising. Cleveland has had some strong offensive performances on the road this season. However, I think that Cincinnati has really found their groove over the past month, sporting the leagues 7th best offense and 9th best defense since the Packers game. Cleveland, on the other hand, has the leagues 31st ranked defense and 17th best offense over that same time span. So, with all of that being said...
Give me Cincinnati. I think they'll have a strong performance at home and beat up an injured Browns squad. Bengals by 13.
