We still haven't seen Burrow's ceiling yet

[Bengalstripes9]

(12-05-2021, 12:31 AM)KillerGoose Wrote: Peyton was #4 in passer rating, #4 in YPA and #7 in TD% in his second season. He burst onto the scene fairly quickly. The league was a little different in 1999, so he wasn't putting up the numbers that we are used to seeing today but Peyton became really good, really quick.  Aaron Rodgers took off in his second season of starting as well. Top five in most major passing categories. That jump that these guys made in that second season isn't that far off from what Burrow is doing now, to be honest. 

#9 in passer rating
#5 in TD %
#2 in YPA

I think towards the end of next season, barring any major mishaps, we'll have a good idea of where Burrow is going to land. I think he is going to be a top five guy by end of 2022, if he doesn't finish there this season.

Oddly his decision making has been suspect at times this year. I think he'll learn and come around. I didn't see him panicking so much last year under pressure. He's thrown some ugly picks trying to avoid sacks. Part of that is the pass protection needs to get better, part of it is that he needs to be sharper with his decision making. Sometimes it's not a bad play to fall down and take a sack, or throw the ball away.

Rodgers and Manning also each sat for at least a year, and neither had a major injury right off the bat. It's tough to say when Burrow will break out, but my guess would be next year. He'll have a full year under his belt and a full offseason to focus on his game instead of rehab. 

I think we can be an elite team next year. Burrow has been good, but not great this year. The line has improved, but aren't quite there yet. The defense has improved drastically, but aren't consistent yet. It would be nice to see a playoff win though.