2 -2 will get us in

[*ochocincos*]

(12-14-2021, 12:43 AM)bfine32 Wrote: I don't see it: If Balt goes 2-2 they beat us, regardless if we beat them or not.

If we win next week, then we have a great chance

Correct, they'd have to go 1-3.

BAL has Packers, Bengals, Rams, Steelers
No way they are favored to win against Packers and Rams.
They either have to lose to the Steelers or Bengals.

I ran the simulation on http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine
If all of Bengals, Ravens, and Browns are 9-8, the Bengals get in if they beat:
Broncos and Browns
Ravens and Browns

The Ravens already have a loss to each division team, so they can't win a head-to-head tiebreaker that way.
So any team with a better divisional record than them will win the divisional tiebreaker.