02-11-2022, 02:01 PM
Or so says the statistical model of Nate Silver, Jay Boice, and Neil Payne of fivethirtyeight.com .
Their model uses something called an Elo rating , a measure based on head-to head results and quality of opponent. Here are the Elo's for their top eight NFL teams. (Ratings were last updated after the Rams-49'ers NFC title game)
KC 1701
Buffalo 1669
LA Rams 1656
Green Bay 1645
Tampa Bay 1634
SF 1615
Cincinnati 1606
Dallas 1600
So, Nate's model says it's 68% to 32% in favor of the Rams .
Pretty similar numbers to another projection they made on Nov, 8, 2016 : Check it out.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Their model uses something called an Elo rating , a measure based on head-to head results and quality of opponent. Here are the Elo's for their top eight NFL teams. (Ratings were last updated after the Rams-49'ers NFC title game)
KC 1701
Buffalo 1669
LA Rams 1656
Green Bay 1645
Tampa Bay 1634
SF 1615
Cincinnati 1606
Dallas 1600
So, Nate's model says it's 68% to 32% in favor of the Rams .
Pretty similar numbers to another projection they made on Nov, 8, 2016 : Check it out.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
