02-11-2022, 02:54 PM
538's ELO models have been AWFUL (and the quarterback adjusted version drastically undersells Burrow) all year. The Bengals had a "19% chance" in Kansas City.
To be fair, being on the wrong side of a percentage projection doesn't mean the model is bad -- but their ELO is seriously predictive of nothing. I don't know why they still use it.
To be fair, being on the wrong side of a percentage projection doesn't mean the model is bad -- but their ELO is seriously predictive of nothing. I don't know why they still use it.
