The Bengals Ascent to the Top- How Unlikely Was It? (Put it in Context)

[Science Friction]

How unlikely do the think it was at season's beginning that the Bengals would make it to the Superbowl? I'd like you to help me put it into context with other unlikely occurrences, particularly sporting events? How would it compare to some of these?

Buster Douglas defeating Tyson?

Appalachian State over Michigan at the Big House in Ann Arbor?

Reds' sweep of the A's in '90?

Butler making the NCAA Basketball title game two years in a row?


I know I read that , before the season began, the Bengals' had a 0.4% chance of making the Superbowl. That translates to a mathematical odds against of 249:1 .


What other unlikely results can you think of that the Bengals' making the Superbowl may be on par with ???

Thanks in advance for your input.