Joe Goodberry - PFF trends of rookie Guards through Year 3

[*ochocincos*]

As usual, Joe Goodberry did some heavy lifting of PFF grades to see if there were any worthwhile trends.

Back in March, he looked to see what the average PFF grade was for rookie Guards with 500+ snaps since 2015 (47 players).
Then he tracked 2nd year, and then 3rd year.
He also added the difference between years 1-2, 2-3, and 1-3.

This data is limited. Obviously limited to PFF grades. Also limited to rookies that actually played their rookie years. This doesn't include the players with less than 500 snaps as rookies.

My method wanted to test how much better rookies got. pic.twitter.com/aDOCpnP4gH

— Goodberry (@JoeGoodberry) March 22, 2022

The average PFF score for rookie guards is 61.0 who played 500+ snaps.
Carman scored a 54.2.
Average PFF score improved by 2.4 from Year 1 to Year 2.
Average grade increase from Year 1 to Year 3 is 3.4.

One other note - There were no instances of rookies under 60.0 getting to 75.0 or higher later.

What this could mean:
- There's optimism that Carman will improve.
- The jump in improvement may not be that much this year or even Year 3 compared to rookie.
- Carman may not get into that upper-tier OG category

One thing to point out though is that Carman actually had a better PFF grade at LG (74.2 run block, 64.3 pass block) compared to RG (59.7 run block, 40.2 pass block).
So there's more reason for optimism if he's on the left side vs right.