Darren Waller

[Au165]

(04-26-2022, 12:13 PM)fredtoast Wrote: 1.  Since Uzo had a much better catch percentage and yards per target than Waller, Waller will have to have a lot more targets just to match what CJ did last year.

2.  An elite TE is no more effective in the redzone that an elite WR.  In fact elite WRs score more tds than elite TEs.

Both these stats without context are absolutely useless. 

• CJ had an aDOT last year (Average depth of target) at 4.1 yards good for 29th for TE's where as Waller had an aDOT of 9.1 yards good for 9th.
• CJ had a target accuracy score last year (How close the ball is to center mass) last year of 8.3 good for 1st in the league for TE's while Waller's was 7.2 landinghim at 19th.
• CJ had a catchable target rate of 90.5% last year (if the ball is catchable or out of reach) #1 in the league for TE and Waller was 75.3% which was 21st in the league. 
• I will give you that CJ had a better true catch rate than Waller, so that was something.
  

Bottom line one was delivered the most accurate balls that any TE in the league got...the other was thrown balls by an average QB.

As for the redzone this is another stat without context, for example the percentage of TD's as receptions inside the 10 yard line between the top 5 WR's and the top 5 TE's is basically the same with it slightly favoring the TE's. 2021 maybe wasn't Waller's year but 2020 is redzone efficiency numbers were better than anyone on our team last year.