05-17-2022, 09:38 AM
Vegas doesn't really give extreme high or lows for win O/U.
The lowest is 4.5 and highest is 11.5 this coming years. 11 teams fell outside of that range in 2021. I think it's less about exactly predicting win totals and more about balancing liabilities and probabilities.
Add up all the O/Us and you get a total of 262 wins in the 2022 season, yet if you have 16 games a week for 17 weeks, that's 272 games. Their O/Us would actually have 10 wins not existing, so it's not actually "predictions" so much as the numbers that will cover their liabilities and hopefully make them a profit.
The lowest is 4.5 and highest is 11.5 this coming years. 11 teams fell outside of that range in 2021. I think it's less about exactly predicting win totals and more about balancing liabilities and probabilities.
Add up all the O/Us and you get a total of 262 wins in the 2022 season, yet if you have 16 games a week for 17 weeks, that's 272 games. Their O/Us would actually have 10 wins not existing, so it's not actually "predictions" so much as the numbers that will cover their liabilities and hopefully make them a profit.
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The 2021 season Super Bowl was over 1,000 days ago.
