Is Jackson Carman "Your" Starting LG

[*ochocincos*]

(05-20-2022, 12:03 PM)KillerGoose Wrote: Ben Baldwin studied this as well. I think his criteria is based on contract amount as it relates to the market. He did it for all positions. Based on this criteria, you have roughly a 30% shot of getting an average G in the 4th round. It continues dropping after that, of course. 

It's worth noting too that the percentage continues to drop the later in the round you go.
The decline from 101 to 138 to be an average-tier starter is ~10%.

Thank you for posting btw.

It's not that it does not happen. There are clear examples where it does.
But the probability goes down the later in the draft someone is selected.