Games against losing teams last year

[KillerGoose]

(05-24-2022, 12:54 PM)seab0000 Wrote: This will allways be the case.  When you win games, your'e opponent's SOS automatically goes down for the year you play the game
This is why winning teams have the weakest SOS.  To better guage SOS you have to use prior year results.

Teams change too much for this to be accurate, but I do understand the point you’re making. Cincinnati went from a squad that had the #5 overall pick to Super Bowl runner up. Using prior season data would classify them as an easy opponent. There are other examples of this as well, such as the Ravens and Browns making the playoffs in 2020 to both missing the playoffs and being completely mediocre squads in 2021. It’s just too inaccurate.

If you have the data from the season, you use that.

EDIT - I had forgotten about this. SOS is used as a playoff and draft position tiebreaker by the NFL. They use the win percentage in all games present on the schedule.