05-30-2022, 11:06 AM
(05-30-2022, 10:00 AM)fredtoast Wrote: In 1982 Anderson set an NFL record with a 70.6% completion percentage that would stand for TWENTY-SEVEN YEARS. In '82 when Anderson set the record the league completion percentage was only 56.4 When Brees broke that record in 2009 the league completion percentage was 60.9. In 2021 when the entire league completed almost 65% of their passes Burrow could still not match Anderson's 70.6%. A QB today would have to complete over 81 percent of his passes to match what Anderson did in 1982 compared to league average.
I agree with all of your post, but the completion percentage wouldn't have to be quite that high in order to match what Anderson did. The reason is because the standard deviation has tightened in today's NFL compared to 1982. Here is what a theoretical Burrow statline would look like if he matched what Anderson did in his 9 games during 1982. I am going to use Burrow's attempts from 2021 just to simulate the a modern statline, but the ratios are all correct.
73.8% completion percentage, 4,184 yards, 22 touchdowns, 7 interceptions, 105.48 passer rating
Burrow would have to be on par with 2018 and 2019 Drew Brees, essentially.
