PFF ranks Zac Taylor #22 of 26 NFL head coaches

[Whatever]

(06-07-2022, 05:12 PM)fredtoast Wrote: It is all based on math,  Tries to measure the talent on the roter then give the coach credit (or blame) for winning more (or less) with an "average" roster.  The 6 new coaches for 2022 are not ranked so only 26 total.

https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-head-coach-rankings-2022-bill-belichick-andy-reid-john-harbaugh

22. ZAC TAYLOR, CINCINNATI BENGALS (8.4 – 8.6 RECORD WITH AVERAGE ROSTER)

Offensive Rank: 21/26 (+7 points scored a season)
Defensive Rank: 24/26 (+13 points allowed a season)

By the data, it is difficult to call Taylor’s regime in Cincinnati a success despite his postseason resume. The estimate suggests that Taylor is riding off the high of the tremendous amount of talent the Bengals have amassed in recent years.

It's a pretty strange methodology.  Starter salary isn't exactly a great way to determine roster quality in a salary cap league where most teams are spending close to the cap.  It also fails to properly take injuries into account.  They say starter salary is based on the player who took the majority of the snaps at a position.  So, if the starting QB misses 8 games his salary still counts in full towards the formula.  It also fails to take into account important things like Challenges, penalties, ability to develop players, and his influence on the roster.  They also don't factor in things like strength of schedule.

It's even stranger that the .500 point for a HC in this study is 21st out of 26.  Todd Bowles is rated at 8.5-8.5, meaning he should get exactly the right amount wins out of talent.  If it was that easy to find a decent coach, there wouldn't be so many coaching openings every year.