What's Tee Higgins value

[*ochocincos*]

(06-16-2022, 06:04 AM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: Problem with that $15-20 range you give is that some of those guys are grouping him with are playing on old contracts, and for other guys is the age when they got those contracts.

Brandin Cooks at 12th was 29 years old when he signed his extension.
Michael Thomas at 13th signed his deal in 2019.
Tyler Lockett at 16th was 29 years old when he signed his extension.
Mike Evans at 17th signed his deal in 2018.
Robert Woods at 18th was both 28 years old when he signed his deal, and signed his deal in 2020.

There's probably a couple other examples there, but that's enough to give a good picture of the problem. If Tee Higgins signed an extension in 2023, he will be heading into his age 24 season and it will be 3, 4, or even 5 years removed from some of those other guys deals, making them a completely useless comparison. In 2018 when Mike Evans signed his extension the cap was ~$51m lower than it will be in 2023. That's not even touching the recent explosion in WR contracts this offseason. 

I think DJ Moore is about as good of a statistical and age comparison point to Tee Higgins as you'll get right now. He just signed a $20.6m/yr extension, and the cap is expected to go up $20m (or more) from this year to next with the new TV kicking in starting in 2023.

Tee probably isn't getting signed for less than $22m/yr, or more depending on how he does in 2022.

Yes, some of those guys in that range were signed a few years ago, the cap is going up, and teams are paying more for WRs now. A team very well could pay him $20+ mill. But I personally would put him in the $15-20 mill range based on what he contributes to the Bengals with Chase opposite him. If a team wants to make him their top WR, that's up to them and I understand.