What's Tee Higgins value

[*TheLeonardLeap*]

(06-16-2022, 10:28 AM)Whatever Wrote: $15-20 mil actually seems about right for the current high end WR2/1b market.  Mike Williams got $20 mil APY.  Williams also gets defended more like a WR1 than Tee due to his home run ability and Allen's lack of deep speed. 

Mike Williams is also heading into his age 28 season.

More importantly, Mike Williams signed his extension on March 8th, right before the WR market exploded and changed. Then....
Christian Kirk signed March 14th
Davante Adams signed March 17th
DJ Moore signed March 18th
Tyreek Hill signed March 23rd
Stefon Diggs signed April 6th
AJ Brown signed April 28th
Cooper Kupp signed June 8th

If Mike Williams signed an extension literally just 11 days later than he did, he would have likely gotten more. Bad luck/timing for him, great luck/timing for the Chargers.

Also Tee Higgins has 1,999 receiving yards at an age before Mike Williams was even in the NFL. He only needs 1,663 yards in the next 5 years to match Williams' total at age 27. If you want to go by years in the NFL rather than age, he still has 3 years to get that 1,663 yards. 

(06-16-2022, 10:59 AM)ochocincos Wrote: Yes, some of those guys in that range were signed a few years ago, the cap is going up, and teams are paying more for WRs now. A team very well could pay him $20+ mill. But I personally would put him in the $15-20 mill range based on what he contributes to the Bengals with Chase opposite him. If a team wants to make him their top WR, that's up to them and I understand.

Oh yeah, I wasn't saying that the $22m+ would be what I would pay him, but more what his actual worth would be. I don't think there's much of a chance that he gets extended here. There's probably no way the Bengals can sign Burrow, Chase, AND Higgins while still keeping a team around them. 

I think the only two teams who have two WRs making $15m/yr or more each are the Chargers and the Bucs. The Chargers have a QB on a rookie contract and by the time Herbert starts getting paid cap-wise, Allen will likely be done at age 33. The Bucs have Tom Brady on a ridiculous cap manipulation contract where he had an $11.9m cap hit this year on a deal that has 4 void years after that, which doesn't really work for a scenario where Joe Burrow would need paid as he wouldn't have what is essentially a 1 year deal.