07-30-2022, 04:07 PM
(07-30-2022, 12:49 PM)Essex Johnson Wrote: How many snaps did the #4 WR take in a 4 WR set and what was their value in that set? that really gets at the heart of the value of a #4 WR on offense. They have more value on majority of the team on specials, normally when teams sign older veterans they are overpriced and don;t provide much on special teams.
Here is micro look at last years top 6 passing yards offense that were ahead of us and amount of receptions their #4/5 WR had per game combined. I think this show the lack of value as a WR for that 4th coming off the bench and you can argue that we have a better Core of 3 Wrs than any of these teams which means less targets for our #4 . Morgan is off to a nice early camp at WR and we know the value he brings to special teams... now in his 4th WR, hurt most of 2020 i think he can give us enough value as the #4.
Tampa Bay: 1
San Diego: 2
Dallas: 3
Chiefs 2
LA 2
Vegas 2
If you have terrible players at #4, you're going to have terrible value. That doesn't mean it won't be potentially valuable.
I already know these numbers aren't accurate. Tyler Johnson for the Bucs had 36 catches on his own, which is more than 1 per game over a 17 game schedule. It's also not accounting for the fact that Scott Miller who played 16/started 5 in 2020 was hurt almost the entire year including a stint on the IR, so all their guys had to move up a slot to fill in for the injury.
It's not all about JUST playing as a #4 WR on the field with the other 3, it's also about who will be the next guy up if one of the top 3 get injured. For instance the Cardinals had Rondale Moore so when Hopkins went down they didn't have to make Antoine Wesley one of their top-3.
The Rams added OBJ right before Woods went down for the season because DeSean Jackson wanted out and they wanted a new #4 WR. Injury timed up so that he became their #3. That offense would have looked different with 7th round rookie Ben Skowronek suddenly as their #3 WR.
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