CRAZY Stat About Our Receivers!

[*ochocincos*]

(08-08-2022, 09:54 AM)PDub80 Wrote: Here's my question....

Usomah had 493 yards last season. If the line protects better, can Hurst get to 800? This would give the Bengals 4 guys with 800+.

I would contend that NO, he wouldn't. At least, not with the other 3 still getting over 800. Where's why: I believe the Bengals want to and WILL run the ball more and more effectively IF the O line is better. This will cut down on drop backs quite a bit and/or open up the screen game.

I also don't think the TE is featured in what the Bengals are running as a general concept. The TE is more of an outlet or a player where the play is adapted to roll that way at the line after checks and adjustments are made. More of an opportunistic position in the ZT/Burrow/LSU style offense than a featured guy.

My guess is that a stronger O line would make Hurst a strong red zone target and 3rd down guy more than an every play option. Especially since he isn't a strong blocker and wouldn't be on the field on every down.

If Hurst were to get 800+ along with all the other guys getting at least what they got last year, you're looking at...
Over 5100 yards.

It's possible to get that high, as Tom Brady put up 5316 last year, but you're also probably looking at less rushing too.
TB was the only QB to put up 5100 yards or more.
Fournette last year put up only 812 rush yards but still at 4.5 YPA. He rushed about 100 times less than Mixon did.
TB was 1st in passing attempts but 31st in rushing attempts.

If the Bengals are going to stay balanced, I doubt Burrow reaches 5000 yards.
But I think he could hit 4700-4800.

My approximate yard estimates:
Chase - 1250 yards
Higgins - 1000 yards
Boyd - 900 yards
Hurst - 600 yards
Mixon - 350 yards
--------------------
4100 yards between the major contributors.

The non-top-5 receivers added another 625 yards last year, so I can see another 600-700 in that area too.
Would get right to 4700-4800.