ESPN QB rankings

[*ochocincos*]

(08-23-2022, 06:13 PM)KillerGoose Wrote: To the bolded, it depends. Context is king in football. Why was the pass incomplete? Was it a bad route, or a timing play where the receiver didn't get to his spot? That isn't really the QBs fault. Did the receiver run the right route, but the QB just missed him? Okay, that's an inaccurate pass. Did the receiver run the right route but the QB threw a dangerous ball? Maybe he threw it behind him, or under/overthrew him and allowed the DB to easily make a play.

In my opinion, accuracy, or in this case, inaccuracy, is a spectrum. Throwing an interception is part of that spectrum, even within the interception grouping. There is a difference between throwing a ball high, which gets tipped and ultimately picked vs. completely missing your man and throwing it straight to a defender. You can even throw an accurate, incomplete pass. QB's have the ability to put a ball only where their guy can get it, so even if the pass is incomplete it can still be an accurate pass. 

 I interpret your final question as insinuating that the outcome doesn't matter; a miss is a miss. What happens with that miss is irrelevant, but I would argue that these misses are, again, on a spectrum and the outcome is valuable in determining where on that spectrum the individual pass lies. 

I would also say not every INT is the same either.
If you're going to be nitpick why a pass was incomplete, you also need to nitpick why an interception happened.
An INT gets dinged on the QB even if the wrong route was ran or the ball was deflected and luckily grabbed by a defender hitting the ground.

Going off metrics is never going to tell the whole story, but you should be able to at least gather some information in much less time spent compared to watching hours upon hours of film.
Is my opinion always right when I toss a number out vs going in super deep to analyze a bunch of film? Usually not.
But if it takes me 5 minutes to pull up a metric and get close, I'm going to go that route since I don't have the time nor interest to go watch a ton of film just for the sake of maybe being slightly more informed.

If a metric/dashboard gives me 90% of the way there, that's "good enough" for me usually.