08-29-2022, 07:15 PM
(08-29-2022, 06:29 PM)BFritz21 Wrote: Didn't get there last week but still planning on going this week.
I'm looking at the over/under bets (I'm not going to bet them but I was wondering), and Baltimore's is 9.5 but only 1/5 confidence that hit the over on this betting advice site; we're at over 10 with 5/5 confidence(!), there's no line for the Browns (), and the Steelers are 5/5 to bet the under at 7.5!
I said I wasn't going to bet those but, if I can parlay every team in the division and get decent odds, I might! (The Barstool app on my phone isn't letting me, so I doubt I can in the casino.)
Might lay a hundred on Brady to win MVP to win $900 (and, obviously, still a hundred on Burrow to win 1,300).
I'd lay a hundred on the Bills to at least make the Super Bowl and a hundred on Allen to win MVP, and I know you're not supposed to bet (or not bet) on emotion, but I just can't bring myself to do it.
Chase for most receiving yards is $100 to win $900 and Mixon for most rushing yards is betting $100 to win $1400.
I think that Mixon pick is an underrated bet because, like I said, our line was horrible last year and he was still third in the league in rushing! The thing is, Taylor had the most with 606 yards more, and history shows that backs with that many carries (over 370) and that many yards (over 1800) generally average 900 yards less and, if you take out Eric Dickerson, they average over 1,100 yards less. The site I'm looking at projects Taylor to have 1,325 yards, and Mixon should beat that. Chubb from Cleveland was in 2nd, but, with the Watson shit-show, I don't see him repeating those numbers.
Just saw McPherson wins $1,400 on a hundred dollar bet for most kicking points, but I don't really like that because we'll score so many touchdowns.
Chase is a hundred to win $2,000 for offensive player of the year, so might do that one.
I initially only wanted to bet a total of $400, but looks like I could be betting more!
That's the bright side of not having many expenses and no children that I know of!
I hate to say it but I think the Steelers are gonna be better than alot of people think. They don't go under .500 very often and I think over 7.5 is the bet.
I think we need to have a good start to the season and I am going to be very nervous / anxious leading up to week 1 vs the Steelers.
