08-30-2022, 12:01 PM
(08-30-2022, 11:37 AM)fredtoast Wrote: So what is the Bengals conversion percentage going to be this year if they face 3rd-and-25 ten times?
Again it's not about every 3rd and 25+ it's only that one play. Your argument is a false equivalency. You are suggesting every 3rd and 25+ are exactly the same.
Its 3rd and 27. Game is tied at 31 with 3 minutes left on the clock. The Bengals are on the 41. The Chiefs aren't just trying to stop a 1st down they are zero blitz because they want to keep the Bengals from getting the 6ish yards from field goal range. Joe Burrow sees the zero blitz the 1 on 1 man coverage vs Chase and throws a great ball.
266 yards on the DEY for Ja'Marr. That's a team record for receiving yards in a game.
— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) January 2, 2022
Watch on CBS pic.twitter.com/s7clFfPQEY
Football is situational. Because the Chiefs were trying to force the Bengals out of field goal range it kept them from playing a normal 3rd and long defense. Because of that opportunity the Bengals were able to capitalize because they were prepared for that defense.
Luck is what happens with preperation meets opportunity.