What Vegas and the National Media is not talking about

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(08-30-2022, 02:30 PM)fredtoast Wrote: My argument is not irrelevant at all.

Say you see a kid make a full court basketball shot.  You tell him that was just luck because you know that a kid is going to make less than one percent of those type shots.  But the kid says "That was just a perfect shot on my part.  Doesn't matter that I miss the shot 99.9% of the time.  You can't consider all those other misses. There was no luck involved in the shot I just made."

Is the kid right?

What does a kid shooting a basketball at half court have to do with the KC vs Bengals 3rd and 27 conversion? Nothing. What does the other 100+ 3rd and 25+ oppurtonities have to do with the KC vs Bengals 3rd and 27 conversion.... Nothing.

You are using a blanket stat and ignoring the football. Football is situational and if you go back I described the situation the play and the outcome. It was not luck or a fluke.