10-10-2022, 12:37 PM
Unprecedented luck. I found an AP article from week 5 last year.
The Lions are the first team in NFL history to lose two games in the same season on game-winning field goals of at least 50 yards with no time left on the clock.
The bengals have lost two games in such a scenario (Steelers/cowboys), plus a close third.
I ran the odds of the three kickers in 50+, 50+ and 40+ situations and the chance of them all making it is 54.5%.
My take away is the bengals d, while it’s been great, can’t let todays NFL kickers have these opportunities. We (statistically) should have likely seen one miss so far. (I am considering 54.5 close to 50). Likely to jinx us here, but a similar situation should result in a miss.
But this is where analytics and results don’t tend to agree and we play the hindsight game.
The Lions are the first team in NFL history to lose two games in the same season on game-winning field goals of at least 50 yards with no time left on the clock.
The bengals have lost two games in such a scenario (Steelers/cowboys), plus a close third.
I ran the odds of the three kickers in 50+, 50+ and 40+ situations and the chance of them all making it is 54.5%.
My take away is the bengals d, while it’s been great, can’t let todays NFL kickers have these opportunities. We (statistically) should have likely seen one miss so far. (I am considering 54.5 close to 50). Likely to jinx us here, but a similar situation should result in a miss.
But this is where analytics and results don’t tend to agree and we play the hindsight game.
![[Image: 4CV0TeR.png]](https://i.imgur.com/4CV0TeR.png)
