11-17-2022, 05:42 PM
(11-17-2022, 05:06 PM)WeezyBengal Wrote: I am going to update this thread weekly as we come down the stretch to the playoffs.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-nfl-predictions/
As of right now (11/17), according to FiveThirtyEight, the Bengals have 47% chance to make the playoffs. They have an 11% change of winning the division, a 1% chance of getting a first-round bye, and a 2% chance of actually winning the Super Bowl.
If we win this week, our chances of making the playoffs increases to 57% (this isn't based on any other game outcomes, strictly the Bengals). If we lose, they decrease to 26%.
It's kind of fun to track and play around with.
For anyone curious, 538 had Cincinnati at a 38% chance of making the playoffs at this point last season. That shot up to 57% if Cincinnati beat LV. I agree, I have enjoyed using this model to see all of the possibilities.
