12-07-2022, 01:37 AM
I was thinking about it on the way to work today and wanted to see what you all thought. If you had to bet your house on how many regular season wins the Bengals end up with, what number would you go with?
While I certainly think they could win out, it's still probably not likely at this point.( Being a homer, I'd rate it about a 15% chance at the point, although the math would probably put it at about 6 or 7%). They will probably have a stumble or two the rest of the way. Also, I certainly don't think it likely they lose more than three. In fact, I think more than three losses the rest of the way would be more unlikely than winning out. They could lose three of the remaining five but I'm doubting it at this point because they seem to be really starting to click on offense and appear to be a confident team. They may actually be favored in each of the five remaining games by the time the games are ready to be kicked off. That leaves the question of whether they will have one stumble or two. I feel like we will beat the Browns and Ravens. The Bills game will have a championship atmosphere. That one could go either way. Turnovers may decide it. Is a stumble more likely to occur in Tampa or Foxboro?
After pondering all of this and trying to be unbiased(although I fail at that misserably), I feel like 11 or 12 wins is the most likely number of wins we close with. My head says they may falter twice but my heart says no more than once. So , quoting Kevin Cronin of REO Speedwgon, should I follow my head or my heart? The heart has led me astray many times but I'm going with it again. I say 12 wins ...
If you had a lot riding on your prediction being correct, how many wins would you predict the Bengals end up with when the regular season comes to a close?
I'll be interested to hear what you think. I'll post a poll with this if you'd like to register a vote.
While I certainly think they could win out, it's still probably not likely at this point.( Being a homer, I'd rate it about a 15% chance at the point, although the math would probably put it at about 6 or 7%). They will probably have a stumble or two the rest of the way. Also, I certainly don't think it likely they lose more than three. In fact, I think more than three losses the rest of the way would be more unlikely than winning out. They could lose three of the remaining five but I'm doubting it at this point because they seem to be really starting to click on offense and appear to be a confident team. They may actually be favored in each of the five remaining games by the time the games are ready to be kicked off. That leaves the question of whether they will have one stumble or two. I feel like we will beat the Browns and Ravens. The Bills game will have a championship atmosphere. That one could go either way. Turnovers may decide it. Is a stumble more likely to occur in Tampa or Foxboro?
After pondering all of this and trying to be unbiased(although I fail at that misserably), I feel like 11 or 12 wins is the most likely number of wins we close with. My head says they may falter twice but my heart says no more than once. So , quoting Kevin Cronin of REO Speedwgon, should I follow my head or my heart? The heart has led me astray many times but I'm going with it again. I say 12 wins ...
If you had a lot riding on your prediction being correct, how many wins would you predict the Bengals end up with when the regular season comes to a close?
I'll be interested to hear what you think. I'll post a poll with this if you'd like to register a vote.
"Knowledge is preferable to ignorance. Better by far to embrace the hard truth than a reassuring fable. "
---CARL SAGAN
---CARL SAGAN