12-19-2022, 03:59 AM
(12-19-2022, 01:33 AM)puddycat Wrote: I must be missing something because:You are missing the conference record.
The Bengals have the tie-breakers against Jets and Dolphins.
Jets can't get more than 10 wins. Bengals have tiebreaker.
Dolphins have to play NE, so either 1) NE wins and we have tiebreaker over Dolphins OR 2) Dolphins win and NE can't get to 10 wins.
So only one wild card team from the West could be better than the Bengals.
Baltimore can be ignored for WC if they win the division.
Only the Chargers from the West could be a higher ranked wild card.
My conclusion: Only the Dolphins OR the Patriots and the Chargers can get to 11 wins (Dolphins) or to 10 wins with the tie-breaker. I think we're already in.
The below can still happen.
Regular Conference
LA 11 - 6 8-4
MIA 10 - 7 8-4
NE 10 - 7 7-5
Jets 10 - 7 7 -5
Cincy 10 -7 6-6