12-19-2022, 04:57 PM
(12-19-2022, 02:32 PM)BoomerFan Wrote: I think when you have a multi-way tie, the head to heads stop mattering? I tried it too and couldn't figure a way for us not to get in so that is the only thing I can figure.
The only way head to head applies in a multi-way tie is if all the teams have played each other. If so, then the team with the best record in the combined games gets in.
But since we have not played the Chargers, conference record would be first. And, of course, if we loose to the Pats (a must in a tie with them), we'd loose that head to head.
We most certainly have not mathematically clinched. Again, somone posted it upthread.
1. Bengals lose out. Finish 10-7. 6-6 in conference.
2. Bills and Chiefs win divisions, are #1 and #2 seeds. Bills beat us.
3. Baltimore wins our division. #3 seed. They beat us. Obviously.
4. Whomever wins the AFC south is #4.
5. Miami wins 2 of 3. Ws vs Pack & Jets, L at Pats. 10-7. 8-5 conf.
6. Chargers win at least 2 of 3: at Indy, Rams, at Den. L vs AFC team.10-7, 7-5 conf.
7. Pats win out. 10-7. 8-4 conf.
In this scenario, the TB goes:
1. Step 1: ID the top ranked teams in each division. The Pats/Dolphins split in this scenario, but the Pats win on Div record. So the TB is between NE, Chragers, & us.
2. Step 2: Head to head. Cannot do DIV TBs as teams are in 3 DIV. H2H does not apply b/c we did not play the Chargers. Conf record is then the TB, and the Pats are best, at 8-4.
3. Step 3. Start over with the remaing tied teams: Cincy, Mia, Chargers.Note Miami is NOT eliminated despite being 2nd in their division behind the Pats. The procedure is to ID the team that qualifies first, then start over with all remaining tied tied teams. Diffetent divisions. H2H not apply (no Cincy v Chargers game). Conf record is the decider, MIami best at 8-5.
4. Step 4. Start over. 2 teams from different divisions. No head to head. Conf record. Bolts better. 7-5 vs our 6-6.
Bills, Chiefs, Ravens, Titans/Jags, Pats, Fins, Bolts. There may be more scenarios involving the Jets.
If the Chargers finish with a better conf record than Miami, they could qualify 2nd, and then we'd win a tie with Miami on H2H.
