Gnaw on this disrespect Bengal fans

[CJD]

Quote:Walder explained why he pulled this exact simulation in the piece.

"Using ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI), we determined the most likely seed combination in each conference. We then picked a single simulation that yielded that pure chalk playoff seeding to forecast scores for each game and simulate the postseason. There's a 9% chance the NFC seeds are in the exact order that's written below, and there's a 12% chance of the same occurring for the AFC. That might not sound like a lot, but it's a fairly high probability for an exact hit; both numbers are higher than when we did this exercise last season.

https://www.si.com/nfl/bengals/allbengals-insiders-plus/espn-model-projects-bengals-to-get-blown-out-by-buffalo-win-afc-north

Basically, they just ran a bunch of simulations to come up with the odds of how each playoff seeding would play out. Then, they just picked a single simulation that matched what their simulations considered the most likely situation.

That single simulation happened to have the Bengals getting blown out.

This isn't a projection of each individual game as much as it was a projection of what the end result of the next two weeks will be, and they used the scores from a single simulation in which that projection happened to occur.