01-01-2023, 10:33 PM
(01-01-2023, 10:14 PM)rfaulk34 Wrote: So...Packers are win and in next week. Seattle needs to win and have the Lions beat GB.
If Detroit beats GB, they need Seattle to lose.
Exactly. Assuming no ties. A GB/Det tie would eliminate both if Sea wins.
AFC is trickier.
NE is in with a win at Buffalo, but that seems unlikely. They can still get in at 8-9 (I think) as long as Jaxsonville wins the South.
The AFC South champ is the Jax/Titans winner, and Jax can still make it with a loss if #7 is a tie at 8-9. They have the best conf record of the 8-8/7-9 teams at 7-3). They did not play NE, MIA, OR PITT. But that would require a NE loss at Buffalo (likely), Miami losing at home to NY (unlikely), and Pitt failing to win out (even). Any tie at 8-9 involving Jax + NE, MIA, &/or Pitt results in the Jags getting in.
If NE loses, Miami is in with a win vs NY. The Fins are out in any tie with NE b/c the Pats have a better DIV record. A loss & they are out.
The Steelers have the worst conference record of the contenders (3-7) and have lost to the entire AFC East. They cannot win a TB and need to stand alone at 9-8 to get in. Win out and have NE & MIA lose. 8-9 and in is impossible for them.
I *think* that is correct. But I did not factor in the Jets, who are eliminated, but could still get to 8-9.
