01-20-2023, 11:38 AM
Here is some more information about Cheffers and the Bills/Bengals that I found at another site, that analyzes referee assignments and their impact on the games.
* "The Bills get a positive referee assignment with Carl Cheffers on the game. Cheffers has been extremely favorable for home teams in his career. [my bold] Although there is an emphasis to reduce penalties in the playoffs, we may see more in this game than any other this weekend.
* Cheffers led the NFL in penalties per game in 2021 and again in 2022. He called only 43% of overall penalties on home teams this season.
*A closer look at penalty percentages in key categories with Carl Cheffers shows a clear edge for the home team. He called 69% of combined defensive holding, offensive holding, and defensive pass interference penalties on the road team. That is above average.
* The Bengals have no significant penalty issues. However, their most penalized game of the season was their Week 12 win at the Titans, with a total of nine penalties for 80 yards. That was the only Bengals game officiated by Carl Cheffers in 2022.
* Cheffers has never been a “let ’em play” referee. For Buffalo Bills fans and moneyline bettors, Cheffers on the game is a positive."
https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/nfl-referee-assignments-penalty-trends-betting-impact/#:~:text=Cheffers%20has%20officiated%20one%20Bills,8%20ATS%20record%20in%202022
* "The Bills get a positive referee assignment with Carl Cheffers on the game. Cheffers has been extremely favorable for home teams in his career. [my bold] Although there is an emphasis to reduce penalties in the playoffs, we may see more in this game than any other this weekend.
* Cheffers led the NFL in penalties per game in 2021 and again in 2022. He called only 43% of overall penalties on home teams this season.
*A closer look at penalty percentages in key categories with Carl Cheffers shows a clear edge for the home team. He called 69% of combined defensive holding, offensive holding, and defensive pass interference penalties on the road team. That is above average.
* The Bengals have no significant penalty issues. However, their most penalized game of the season was their Week 12 win at the Titans, with a total of nine penalties for 80 yards. That was the only Bengals game officiated by Carl Cheffers in 2022.
* Cheffers has never been a “let ’em play” referee. For Buffalo Bills fans and moneyline bettors, Cheffers on the game is a positive."
https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/betting/nfl-referee-assignments-penalty-trends-betting-impact/#:~:text=Cheffers%20has%20officiated%20one%20Bills,8%20ATS%20record%20in%202022