01-22-2023, 02:02 PM
(01-22-2023, 01:50 PM)SHRacerX Wrote: Those numbers are based on year long statistics. PFF looks at the actual SUCCESS rate in rushing against the Bills, and teams that have done it well have beat them. When the Bills beat KC earlier this year, KC threw the ball more than double their rush attempts. When Miami and the Jets beat the Bills, they rushed it more than passed it. It wasn't for something like 8 YPC, but it was enough to keep them balanced and prevent third and longs.
They may be a capable defense, but they sure aren't Baltiwhore. Teams have had to abandon the run against them because Buffalo has been one of the highest scoring offenses in the league. That also makes their statistics appear better than they are.
Again, I am not saying the Bengals should abandon the passing game....far from it. They just need to have balance. That's my two cents. And for some reason, I have a feeling this is a big game for Mixon.
I'm not 100% sure what you're referencing when you say "success rate" but there is an actual metric called success rate. The Bills are 16th. In EPA per rush, the Bills are #4. They are not a bad rush defense by any metric other than PFF grades.
I don't want to be rude, but I place no value in any PFF grade. Their data aggregation is truly top notch, but their grades are a joke. Their analysts don't do it for a living and are minimally trained. They are part time, not paid well, and their work isn't much better than the collective opinions of casual fans. Most of their analysts are just that - casual fans.
