Frazier to the White Sox?

[Hoofhearted]

(12-16-2015, 04:37 PM)samhain Wrote: For a guy of Frazier's abilities with two years left on his deal, this is a bad deal for the Reds.  Peraza is a nice piece, but he's basically a slap hitting infielder that can't take a walk.  A piece, but in a deal for Frazier, I'd want more.  Dixon couldn't hit in AAA and Schebler looks like another Chris Heisey.  

If this is what they're getting for their biggest trade piece, it's gonna be a long, long rebuild for the Reds.  Chapman's is Typhoid Mary right now and any Bruce or Phillips trade will be salary dumps mores that talent acquisition.

We'd better hope this team drafts it's ass off for the next two years or plans on spending every bit of the pay flex they manage to dump on good everyday eight players.

A replacement level team is 52 wins. Let’s assume you need 89 wins to make the playoffs. If you have 6 cheap ($1MM) average position players(2 WAR) that’s 12 WAR. Add in 4 average pitchers and a couple of relievers (6 players totaling 2 WAR since relievers arent worth as much) and you are at 22 WAR. So basically, your salary so far is $16MM. You now have $94 MM to get 15 WAR in the free agent market. So basically you can afford to pay $32 MM for three 5 WAR players, assuming a $110 MM payroll.


Peraza projects to be at least average so 2 – 2.5 WAR. If you can fill most of your roster with cheap 2 – 2.5 WAR guys then spending on free agents will put you over the hump. The best part is we have that at a cost controlled, player controlled contract. 



The problem I have with this is you usually need a star or two on the team to make up the rest of the WAR difference. Peraza doesn't seem to have that star power. Assuming this team will be good in two years, that most likely puts Votto on his decline years (he's 32 now) also.