01-30-2023, 05:56 PM
Hendrickson has been the poster boy for overproducing relative to pressures. He did it in 2020 and then did it again in 2021. He was due for a regression and that regression came this year. In 2020 he converted 28% of his pressures to sacks and in 2021, 23% of his pressures to sacks. League average is roughly 17%, so you would have expected him to have roughly 12 sacks on the season. So, he was overperforming the last two years. This year, he converted about 12% of his pressures to sacks.
Some will say that it is injury related, and it is likely due to that in some manner but he was also struggling to get sacks prior to his injury. Up until the injury, he was converting 13% of his pressures to sacks. Slightly better, but still a major regression. One good thing is that his pressure percentage went up this year, and has been steadily increasing since 2020. He logged a pressure percentage of 16.2%, which was up from 15.5% in 2021 and that was up from 13% in 2020.
Given the trends, Trey is likely to be a consistent double digit sack player. Anywhere from 10-14 is his likely finishing range, sans injury.
Some will say that it is injury related, and it is likely due to that in some manner but he was also struggling to get sacks prior to his injury. Up until the injury, he was converting 13% of his pressures to sacks. Slightly better, but still a major regression. One good thing is that his pressure percentage went up this year, and has been steadily increasing since 2020. He logged a pressure percentage of 16.2%, which was up from 15.5% in 2021 and that was up from 13% in 2020.
Given the trends, Trey is likely to be a consistent double digit sack player. Anywhere from 10-14 is his likely finishing range, sans injury.