04-27-2023, 04:29 PM
Short term, this would be an absolutely fantastic selection. He could end up being the key to winning the SB this year or next year.
In the long term, it may end up being a sub par pick since there's very little inherent value in a RB's second contract (and in fact can be somewhat of a trap if you decide to sign them to what you think will be a good deal at the time. See: Joe Mixon). The discount we get for 5 years with Gibbs won't be comparable to discount we'd get for 5 years at CB, DE or DT.
With that said, it's just a tiny bit less valuable than a discounted TE contract, so if we're willing to take Mayer or Kincaid, we may as well take Gibbs, who I think will have a higher impact on our team during that rookie contract. TEs often take 2 to 3 years to break out, at which point that second contract starts looming. A RB, in theory, should be an impact player from day 1 if they were worth a first round pick. They just have a shorter shelf life and you probably shouldn't entertain a big 2nd contract with them.
In the long term, it may end up being a sub par pick since there's very little inherent value in a RB's second contract (and in fact can be somewhat of a trap if you decide to sign them to what you think will be a good deal at the time. See: Joe Mixon). The discount we get for 5 years with Gibbs won't be comparable to discount we'd get for 5 years at CB, DE or DT.
With that said, it's just a tiny bit less valuable than a discounted TE contract, so if we're willing to take Mayer or Kincaid, we may as well take Gibbs, who I think will have a higher impact on our team during that rookie contract. TEs often take 2 to 3 years to break out, at which point that second contract starts looming. A RB, in theory, should be an impact player from day 1 if they were worth a first round pick. They just have a shorter shelf life and you probably shouldn't entertain a big 2nd contract with them.
![[Image: oN5QAdY.png]](https://i.imgur.com/oN5QAdY.png)
